Nicolas Sarkozy Opens LGV Rhin-Rhône

Sep 9th, 2011 | Posted by

Another day, another expansion of the French TGV system. In this case French President Nicolas Sarkozy was on hand for the opening of the first section of LGV Rhin-Rhône, connecting Mulhouse to Lyon and helping improve high speed links between France, southern Germany, and Switzerland.

The section that opened today is not the entire LGV Rhin-Rhône route. It was 140km of that route, from Villers-les-Pots to Petit-Croix.

Just out of curiosity, I looked up the populations of those towns. Villers-les-Pots has 1,020 residents. Petit-Croix is even smaller at 339.

Compare that to the two locations that were originally the endpoints of the Central Valley segment. Borden has no discernible population stats, since it’s not even a census-designated place. Corcoran, on the other hand, has a population of 24,813. As we know, the Borden-Corcoran segment was regularly derided as a “train to nowhere” (ignoring the fact that it had stops at Fresno and Hanford, and now extends all the way to Bakersfield).

If the Central Valley segment was a “train to nowhere” what does that make this segment of the LGV Rhin-Rhône? The Central Valley segment’s original endpoints are 1666% more populous. Is Nicolas Sarkozy inaugurating a French train to nowhere?

Of course he’s not. The entire concept of a “train to nowhere” is absurd. Both the Central Valley segment from Fresno to Bakersfield and today’s new segment of the LGV Rhin-Rhône are part of a larger train system. They are initial operating segments, not stand-alone routes. Nobody is traveling from Villers-les-Pots to Petit-Croix and nobody was going to be traveling from Borden to Corcoran. Existing passenger trains can and will use the HSR segments as part of their routes connecting much larger destinations. In California, it’ll be the Amtrak San Joaquins, until connecting track is built to the Bay Area and Southern California.

The French understand this, which is why they call the project the LGV Rhin-Rhône and not the TGV Rhin-Rhône. “LGV” refers to the tracks (“Ligne à Grande Vitesse”) and “TGV” refers to the trains (“Train à Grande Vitesse”). But here in the USA, we just call it all “high speed rail” even though, in the Central Valley, we are building high speed rails and not high speed trains.

France also understands the importance of upgrading connecting segments between urban areas, where you can generate the highest speeds and the greatest time savings, instead of starting in urban areas. Eventually the LGV infrastructure does get brought into the urban areas, but it’s not all that gets done, and it’s not the sole purpose of the project.

If only more American journalists actually spent time in Europe…or spent time researching the issues and concepts of HSR…

  1. Alon Levy
    Sep 9th, 2011 at 23:13
    #1

    The difference is that the TGV can use the LGV Rhin-Rhone now and just travel beyond the ends of the line at lower speed, whereas to provide equivalent service before a usable IOS opens CAHSR is planning around 110 mph diesels with twice the axle load of any HSR train.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Probably a coincidence, but it is interesting to read that Talgo is going to convert some of the Spanish Class 130 gauge changing trains to “hybrid”, by replacing the end cars with diesel-generator cars. The 2 built in 3300 kW rated engines will then allow the train to operate on non-electrified lines at speeds up to 180 km/h (that’s roughly 110 mph).

    jim Reply:

    France treats LGVs as part of the passenger rail network, not as some exotic thing quite separate from it.

    Joey Reply:

    Considering that most of it is electrified, double tracked, state-owned, and lacking in heavy freight trains/FRA regulations, this makes prefect sense.

  2. Gianny
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 00:16
    #2

    Does the Passage of SB 292, which came about after AEG (Farmer’s Field Stadium Project in LA) help CAHSR in any way?

    http://espn.go.com/los-angeles/nfl/story/_/id/6948868/california-passes-bill-ease-building-farmers-field

    [Quote/]AEG’s bill actually inspired a landmark day in the Senate as state lawmakers also passed AB 900, a bill modeled on SB 292 and introduced less than 24 hours before it was voted on, which would allow a variety of statewide big-ticket projects such as stadiums and arenas to apply to the governor for similar expedited legal challenges while also holding them to the same strict environmental measures.[/Quote]

    http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2011/09/downtown-stadium-legislature.html

  3. ant6n
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 07:40
    #3

    Isn’t the slight difference that most of the regular French rail lines are electrified, so that any high speed train could run basically anywhere, albeit slowly?

    jim Reply:

    Not all. Notoriously, SNCF coupled a diesel locomotive to a TGV to haul it into Sable d’Olonnes for several years until the line was electrified.

    The main difference is that France doesn’t have our FRA. If California were in France and the ICS-Extended (Bakersfield to Merced, electrified and signaled) were built, then the hundred miles of legacy track between Merced and Sacramento would be electrified and high speed trains run at high speed between Bakersfield and Merced and low speed between Merced, Modesto, Stockton and Sacramento. CHSRA can’t do that because FRA wouldn’t let them. There is zero chance today that FRA would grant a waiver to let a 350 km/h capable trainset share tracks with freight. PTC or no PTC, mile-long freights take a long time to stop.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    The Sables d’Olonnes situation was unique. But yeah, it’s more regulations than electrification, which is quite cheap. The eventual electrification of the line to Sables d’Olonnes cost a little more than $1 million per km. Even in California, with its higher electrification costs, the budget for CAHSR is $3 million per km, which is small in the grand scheme of things.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    “The Sables d’Olonnes situation was unique”.
    Yes. The original way of getting there was TGV to Nantes and then transfer to local DMU. This was OK for the permanent residents (15000 people) but not for the vacationers and surfboarders. They wanted to load their equipment on the train in Paris and then forget about it until they arrived at Les Sables.
    Rather than lose ridership, SNCF temporarily opted for that hybrid solution.

    jim Reply:

    Sables d’Olonnes was unique, but symptomatic. SNCF’s worldview was to enable single seat rides across LGV and legacy tracks. In most cases, the legacy track was electrified, which made creating single seat rides easier. But lack of electrification by itself didn’t stop them. The US worldview is to hermetically seal HSR off from the rest of the world. The original CHSRA concept was that CAHSR didn’t interact with existing rail at all. Even when their stations were colocated with existing stations, they assumed separate tracks, separate platforms and even separate platform accesses. We get the regulations that we want.

    Joey Reply:

    Segregating passenger operations from heavy freight, as it is run in the US, is desirable where even remotely possible.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Not all passenger track in the US hosts heavy freight traffic. Some lines have so little freight that “Modernize or else, and we’ll be happy to pay your capital costs for that” becomes a reasonable proposition.

    Joey Reply:

    True enough. Not the case for any of the mainlines in the CV though.

    ant6n Reply:

    Even if capacity is an issue, and you really want to separate freight and hsr, wouldn’t it make much more sense to have 4-tracked ROWs?

    When considering regional rail networks feeding into hsr across the whole country, mixing freight and regional rail on 2-tracked ROWs seems to make more sense than two separate ROWs with one track each.

    Joey Reply:

    I was talking about the tracks themselves – who owns the land was not relevant to what I was saying. I have nothing against running freight and passenger trains on the same corridor. And of course, the arbitrarily large separations required by the FRA and UP are ridiculous, though given enough space, you probably do want a little bit of a buffer zone between heavy freight tracks and high-speed passenger tracks.

    Beta Magellan Reply:

    Something Siemens suggested to the Midwest high-speed booster group was to use a sort of three-track blended plan for the tighter stretches of their suggested Chicago-Minneapolis line. Within Chicago and its inner suburbs a third track would be added to the Metra ROW and the corridor would be electrified—HSR would mainly use the new track, only going onto one of Metra’s tracks for the odd passing maneuver. Even so, they projected average speeds of around 125 mph for that segment.

    The Metra line in question doesn’t carry much freight, though—I think I’ve seen a grand total of one freight train there in four years of Hiawatha-riding (and even then I’m not sure), and the corridor’s owned by Metra so you don’t have to deal with the private sector. Still, I could see such a solution working in corridors where there’s much less freight than capacity, passenger trains don’t need to go more than 150 mph, and you’re not expecting to run them at less than hourly frequencies.

    joe Reply:

    Considering the current “bipartisan” agreement regulations, good and “bad” impede the economic recovery, I bet the chance “that FRA would grant a waiver to let a 350 km/h capable trainset share tracks with freight is well above zero.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Maybe, but it requires a lot of special lobbying by good transit advocates. Mica’s privatization proposal included no elements of regulatory reform, and didn’t even address other Amtrak banes, namely MBTA and Metro-North control over critical segments of track. And the Obama administration has so far not shown interests in real reform – on the contrary, one regulation that has to go, Buy America, it’s been unusually rigid about.

    joe Reply:

    Good point but we are in a brave new world now.

    I dunno about any physical laws being violated or teased by a waiver BUT…

    CNN sez 41% think their Rep deserves to be re-elected and Mica lives in FL where HSR was terminated – unpopularly – by the Gov

    Mica is about to wet himself worrying about re-election. He’s been on the defensive and performing poorly on TV.

    Would Mica stop a regulation reform to spite CA? Joe sez no.

    I believe Caltrain got a first-of-a-kind waiver. If Gov Brown wants one to boot strap an inter-city rail project, IMHO, he will get one or more.

    Peter Reply:

    Mica can’t stop regulatory reform except by having Congress passes a law to that effect. Congress has delegated that authority to the FRA.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    I doubt Mica would stop regulatory reform. On the contrary, if Stephen Smith and others raising the issue manage to reach a wider audience, he might pick up on it as a popular deregulation. But this doesn’t mean that Mica is going to initiate reform on his own accord.

    Joey Reply:

    Even CalTrain’s waiver had a lot of strings attached. Heck, it’s practically contingent on them using double-deck equipment.

    TomW Reply:

    “mile-long freights take a long time to stop.”
    Sort of true… what takes a long time is the brake signal to propagate pneumatically down the train. if the signal could be transmitetd instantly, then a mile-long train could as quickyl as loco hauling nothing.

    One of the advantages of distibuted traction is that because you have (radio-controlled) locos in teh middle of the train, you end with distibuted brakign control. Imagine if 5-10% of wagons had a radio reciever that opened the brake valve on command… mile-long trains would stop as quickly as one with 10-20 wagons.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Actually such a system exists, and (if I understood the reports correctly), CN apparently uses it in their coal trains. The system is called “electropneumatic brakes”, and it is essentially an electric signal opening the brake valve on the individual car. With that you have propagation times in the millisecond ranges.

    The next issue would, however, be, how powerful the brake actually is. In other words, which deccelleration the brake system can achieve. And here, not verified, and I may be completely wrong, north American freight cars are not very powerful, which means that for a given speed, the braking distance gets longer than European freight trains (assuming electro-pneumatic brakes, train length does not matter in that case).

    The opposite of that is high speed trains which need very powerful brake systems, particularly because friction-based systems are not sufficiently efficient at high speeds; that’s another reason why high-speed lines are electrified – regenerative braking can be used, as long as the grid can take up energy. And if that fails, one can even use eddy-current brakes (but in that case, the heat generated in the rails may change the cristalline structure of the steel…

  4. joe
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 10:50
    #4

    CA’s AB900, Does it apply to CAHSR?

    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/09/09/MNR71L2NB6.DTL&type=printable

    Streamlined review

    If signed by the governor, AB900 would allow projects costing $100 million or more to request streamlined judicial review under the California Environmental Quality Act, known as CEQA. That law, passed in 1970, requires public agencies to identify the environmental impacts of construction and other projects and mitigate them.

    While CEQA is credited by supporters as helping to keep communities healthy and California’s natural resources intact, it has long been a target of Republicans and developers, who say it kills jobs by allowing litigation to tie up important projects.

    Environmental groups, however, said they were shocked and angered by the bill – both its substance and how quickly it was rushed through. They said it could ultimately backfire. While AB900 was written only to apply to projects that are economically and environmentally beneficial, it would also allow CEQA challenges to bypass local courts and go directly to the state Court of Appeal, which would have to make a decision within 175 days.

    The bill would sunset in 2015 – when Brown’s term is over.

    “I don’t think the authors are fully aware of what the bill is going to do,” said Kathryn Phillips, director of Sierra Club California. “They’ve taken a level of appeal out of this. … It would reduce the opportunity to make sure there is a full review of what the project proponent has done.”
    ….
    Gibson Dunn partner Mary Murphy said CEQA lawsuits are often used as a delay tactic by people who object to the project itself, not the details of the environmental review. Those suits can result in another year of litigation, on top of the four to five years it can take just to do a full environmental impact report.

    Environmental reviews, she said, “cost amazing amounts of money, well north of a million dollars for large projects. And it is a lot of time, a lot of money, a lot of analysis and you end up getting appealed and sued anyways, and it has nothing to do with whether or not the analysis is sufficient.”

    Is this law going to used to streamline the inevitable Kings County EIR challenge?

    Peter Reply:

    No. Not if passed in its current form.

    Currently, it only applies to “residential, retail, commercial, sports, cultural, entertainment, or recreational use project, or clean renewable energy or clean energy manufacturing project”

    Jack Reply:

    Sounds like it would fall under Comercial / Clean Renewable???

    Peter Reply:

    Actually no. The terms are defined in the legislation. http://www.leginfo.ca.gov

  5. D. P. Lubic
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 12:53
    #5

    Semi-off topic, but of parallel interest: Interstate highway bridge between Kentucky and Indiana closed (age: 49 years, relatively young for a lot of bridges I am familiar with):

    http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2011/09/10/316190/while-mcconnell-opposes-infrastructure-investment-major-kentucky-bridge-shuts-down-over-safety-concerns/

  6. Andre Peretti
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 13:34
    #6

    Sarkozy thinks a photo op in a TGV cab will be enough to erase from our memories all his previous decisions concerning rail. Ex-minister Villepin (former ally, now opponent) said he is really taking us for a ride.
    He is the president who said, 3 years ago, that rail had historically received so much money from the state that it was now time for it to finance itself. During his presidency, the tolls paid by the TGV to to state-run RFF have been multiplied by 3. 30% of the TGV fares now goes to RFF which intends to make it 40% by 2013. This means the state is transferring the burden of subsidizing loss-making (but electorally profitable) lines onto the TGV.
    Last year, SNCF paid €2.9 billion to RFF. That’s money that won’t be spent on new rolling stock although more than 100 TGVs are over 30 years old and should be replaced.
    That’s a problem CHSR won’t have. It won’t be obliged to subsidize all other trains.

    Paulus Magnus Reply:

    Any profits go into the state’s general fund however.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    I sincerely hope he makes it to the second round in the election, though.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    So do I. Not because I like him, but because the other candidates have no credible platforms,

    Regarding rail, one thing I have against the Sarkozy government is that nothing has been done to mend the conflictual RFF-SNCF relationship. When two state-owned companies periodically leak to the media devastating phrases about each other, it shows there is a big problem. Of course, the phrases are always officially denied, but nobody is fooled.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    I don’t like him, either. I’m just saying, if he makes it, it means Le Pen won’t. Bad as Sarko is, he can’t be worse than the FN.

    Regarding rail, I’ve heard complaints from within Paris and its suburbs that the government’s plan for rail expansion is too express – i.e. it stops too infrequently, and isn’t very useful for local circumferential trips, and the Socialists’ Arc Express idea is better.

  7. Richard Mlynarik
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 16:37
    #7

    The French understand this, which is why they call the project the LGV Rhin-Rhône and not the TGV Rhin-Rhône. “LGV” refers to the tracks (“Ligne à Grande Vitesse”) and “TGV” refers to the trains (“Train à Grande Vitesse”)

    This provides strong evidence that the French understand the French language. Incroyable, non?

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    “This provides strong evidence that the French understand the French language. Incroyable, non?”

    I burst out laughing when I read your remark, but on secondthoughts I realise it’s a bit unfair. Maybe Robert had in mind that the TGV won’t be the only train on the line. It will be used by DB and Trenitalia, and maybe also by SNCF’s archenemy Veolia. The company has just received its license to operate passenger trains on French tracks, in spite of intense adverse lobbying from the unions.
    This puts an end to a paradox: a company allowed to run passenger trains all over the world except in its home country.

    TomW Reply:

    The point (I think) Robert was tryign to make is that the French talk of constructing a line or set of tracks, rather than a train service. Maybe we should talk about the Central valley segment being “high-speed tracks”.

    Joey Reply:

    The difference is the French already run trains which can use those tracks to their full potential.

  8. joe
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 16:49
    #8

    Here’s some construction footage as they approach the alps.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbGIo01mgo4&feature=related

  9. Andrew
    Sep 10th, 2011 at 21:29
    #9

    The San Joaquins don’t even connect to Los Angeles right now, due to the line south of Bakersfield being a busy single track freight line. How is the Fresno to Bakersfield section of CAHSR supposed to be useful as part of a larger network if passengers still have to transfer to Amtrak buses to get to LA? Plus there is no way that non-FRA high speed trains will be allowed on the existing tracks to Oakland and Sacramento.

    A high speed train connecting Fresno and Bakersfield might get a moderate amount of ridership, but is basically useless for SF-LA traffic until the CAHSR project is finished. This is unlike the French high speed lines, which run on reasonably good quality electrified low speed track until more of the high speed system is completed.

    Joey Reply:

    The idea is that the San Joaquins will use the high-speed track at 110 mph until the time comes when you would actually want to run high-speed trains, i.e. until one of the mountain crossings is completed. The San Joaquins currently amount to six round trips per day, so that’s really not much usage. One of the reasons why I think that LA-Palmdale-Bakersfield should have been the first construction segment, but I guess there’s no changing that now…

    Howard Reply:

    Yes. LA – Palmdale – Bakersfield should have been first, but it needs to be second. We need to get this project started, and endlessly bickering about were to start will just kill the whole project. I think LA to Palmdale should be next because it can be shared with Desert Xpress and it should be easier than the mountain crossing.

    Andrew Reply:

    (different Andrew here) I agree with your main point. DX however should go over Cajon pass thru San Bdno to LA. The Cajon pass segment could also be used for an LA bypass for passengers going between anywhere north of Palmdale and anywhere south or east of Ontario (including San Diego and eventually Palm Springs, Phoenix and Tucson). This would be a better connection to Vegas for most people in SoCal except people near San Fernando and Palmdale.

    Beta Magellan Reply:

    Why bypass Los Angeles? It’s the most important destination for people in SoCal and (hypothetically) Arizona, and Union Station will have through-running so turnarounds won’t be an issue. Furthermore, points north of LA are for the most part too distant for people from San Diego and Arizona to choose HSR over air travel.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Probably… however, if we take the analogy to France, Paris has a bypass, Lyon has a bypass, and even Marseille has one.

    On the other hand, assuming that LA Union Station will become run-through, the priority should go for that.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Well, nothing in Paris is run-through, unless you count RER tracks. Does Berlin have a bypass?

    Peter Reply:

    Berlin has two main arteries, one east-west following the Stadtbahn, and one north-south. They meet at Hauptbahnhof. The north-south one has a wye just north of the station, where it splits off into numerous east-west and north-south routes. I’m unaware of any intercity trains that bypass Berlin if they go near it.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    At the moment, we can consider Berlin to be at the periphery of the high-speed network. That means that there is no real need for a bypass so far. OTOH, it is essentially the S-Bahn right of way connecting the main stations.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Fair enough. But I suspect that Berlin wouldn’t have a bypass anyway – the German concept of running HS emphasizes connections over nonstop service. Even terminals don’t get bypassed, or don’t get bypassed often – trains instead enter and reverse direction.

    For another example, look at Japan. Instead of stub-ending at Osaka and having a bypass for trains going further west, JNR built Shin-Osaka. It also built no Tokyo bypass – it intended to through-run the Tohoku and Tokaido Shinkansen, though by the time the Tohoku Shinkansen got to Tokyo, JNR had split, and JR East and JR Central have incompatible ideas of how to run trains and aren’t interested in through-service. There are two Tokyo bypasses, neither used by HSR: the Yamanote Line, built long before Tokyo Station opened and through-service became possible, and the Musashino Line, built for freight trains (but now also used by passenger trains) after JNR made the Yamanote Line passenger-only.

    Andrew Reply:

    @Alon – Your Osaka example supports the opposite conclusion — they essentially bypassed Osaka and put the Osaka shinkansen station on the bypass. in any case Osaka wouldn’t be analogous to LA, whose original station doesn’t require a stub. The Tokyo analogy also does not apply here — much higher degree of economic centralization, no comparable degree of detour in order to reach Tokyo Sta., etc. Also, non-shinkansen lines make extensive use of bypassing, as you illustrate. The fact that shinkansen do not utilize the *same* bypass routes that commuter trains do is immaterial. Eg, why on earth would shinkansen use the musashino line as a bypass to Tohoku, when the present line is so much shorter? Also, the difference between going up the west and east sides of yamanote can’t be more than a few kilometers. No one would suggest an LA bypass if there were a line from San Diego up the coast to LA and straight up thru Tejon. The presentation of these clearly spurious analogies is baffling. When we offer up these exotic foreign examples, it should be for the purpose of presenting reasonably analogous precedents, not simply conveying the impression of worldliness.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    “It’s a bypass. You’ve got to build bypasses.”

    Alon Levy Reply:

    By the law, less snarkily, you should check who I’m responding to – it’s Max, not you. In particular, the assumptions I’m contrasting the Japanese approach with are Max’s (coming from the TGV operating pattern) and not yours. In particular, I have no reason to try to start a pissing match about worldliness with someone who lives near Zurich and has been involved in citizen engagement in the public transit process there. In contrast, I have every reason to contrast the Japanese approach to HSR with the French approach; I’ve argued for years that the Japanese approach is both better in general and specifically more suited to the population distribution in California.

    Now, look carefully again into why I’m bringing up Yamanote and Musashino. It’s not about the Shinkansen – it’s about why they exist as commuter rail bypasses. Specifically, it’s about the point that intercity bypasses of through-stations are rarely if ever built; that’s why I brought up Berlin first.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Alon: When we are talking about terminals in Germany, it is essentially Frankfurt/Main which applies. And there, Frankfurt Hbf IS bypassed by the ICs/ICEs from Mannheim towards the Rhineland. Well, thanks to the connections, the trains from (München-) Stuttgart and from Basel meet at the same platform in Mannheim. One of the trains continues towards Frankfurt Hbf and then on towards Fulda (-Hannover-Hamburg), and the other one towards Frankfurt Flughafen (-Köln and beyond). An almost similar connection is in Frankfurt Flughafen between the ICE towards Köln via Neubaustrecke, and the IC taking the Rhine valley route, allowing you to come from Mannheim and from Frankfurt Hbf. Actually, this works because the travel time between Mannheim and Frankfurt Flughafen is just a bit less than 30 minutes, fitting very well in the hourly fixed interval timetable.

    There are a few other bypasses of terminals: a few trains (I knew them as ICE Sprinters) bypass Stuttgart, and there are also a few ICEs stopping at Köln Deutz instead of Köln Hbf, in order to avoid a reverse move. (at least that was the case; it is already quite some time since I travelled around Germany on business).

    On the other hand, reverse movements are not as critical for the DB, because they routinely reverse ICEs within 5 minutes (for example in Frankfurt Hbf).

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Well, I was thinking of the ICE Sprinters as one example, but, these aren’t a very high-ridership part of the network. There are just a few per day, rather than 1-2 per hour as on the other lines. My understanding is that they’re marketed as premium TGV-style express runs.

    My guess is that the California equivalent for them is nonstop SF-LA trains meeting the legal requirement of under-2:40 travel time, whereas in reality most express runs are still going to make multiple stops near SF and LA, including but not only SJ.

    Do you know what the travel time difference is between trains that reverse at Frankfurt and trains that bypass it? Presumably it’s a little more than 5 minutes, because of the slow approach speeds into a terminal and the need to accelerate to speed. I’ve been trying to find equivalent information for Marseille – i.e. the difference between in-train travel time on TGV runs that bypass Marseille and on the sum of a run to Marseille and a run from Marseille to Toulon or Nice – but the schedules are so inscrutable I can’t find anything with otherwise-equivalent stopping patterns.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Alon: I agree, the ICE Sprinters are special; in fact, if I remember correctly, there is one in the morning and one in the evening (per direction) between München and Frankfurt. Time gained by bypassing Stuttgart is about 10 to 15 minutes, because the shortcut is very close to Stuttgart Hbf.

    I agree with the SF-LA directs speculation; there may be one pair in the morning and one in the evening. There may also be something similar to Sacramento (whenver Sacramento gets connected to the network). Such trains are mainly business trains (but then, a stop in San Jose would make sense, in order to get the travellers into the business areas by Caltrain).

    What I also could imagine as possible schedule models is a pair of trains, one running “local” until about the middle of the line, and then “express” to the other end, being met by another train running “express” until the middle, and then running “local”. Such a model would allow for a rather low-cost connection between the local towns, but still provide fast direct connections for the long distance. A condition for this to work would be non-reserved operation; you get whatever train you can…

    Back to Germany. As far as I remember, there are no trains running (from somewhere to) Mannheim – Frankfurt Hbf – Frankfurt Flughafen (and to somewhere beyond). Well, maybe early morning and late night trains could. Travel times between Mannheim and Frankfurt Hbf and between Mannheim and Frankfurt Flughafen are about the same. So, the difference with the reverse in Frankfurt Hbf would be the transit time plus the reversing time, which would result in about 20 minutes difference. Now, considering the fixed interval timetable, these 20 minutes would not be useful, because the train would be “off beat”… which means that the difference had to be extended to 30 minutes.

    In Marseille, the shortcut is very close to St.Charles, which means that we can assume a time difference similar to Stuttgart, therefore around 15 minutes. This is a guesstimate, as there may be a few connections not serving Marseille, but they are hard to find in the SNCF timetable chaos (well, maybe eventually they learn it too, and discover the advantages of fixed interval systems … maybe in 2040 or so… (end of polemics)).

    Peter Reply:

    The ICE Sprinter runs up to seven trains a day, split between three different lines. That’s not round-trip.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Ironically, PACA recently adopted a fixed interval schedule for the TERs.

    In California, the problem with the half-local, half-express model is that the stations in the middle are all in high-speed territory, whereas the stations near LA and SF are in lower-speed territory. This means that a half-local, half-express train is still going to lose too much time. In addition, having trains connect in the middle, i.e. in Fresno or maybe Bakersfield, requires the overtake station to have four platform tracks, making the urban aerials even more expensive than they already are.

    The population distribution in California is fairly Japanese – i.e. nearly all people live along a small number of lines. Together with the speed pattern of fast in the middle and slow near the edges, this suggests a Japanese service plan: local trains make all stops, and express trains make stops in the LA Basin and the Bay Area but run nonstop from San Jose to Sylmar, skipping the stations in high-speed territory. Bakersfield and Fresno don’t lose too much from this arrangement because they still get reasonably fast connections to LA, SF, and later SD, and their trains only make 1 or 2 stops on the way in high-speed territory; Gilroy and Palmdale get 0 high-speed stops in the useful commuter direction, and 3 in the far less useful intercity one.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Alon: Yes, for TER services, they are gradually discovering fixed interval schedules, and the results are, as far as I read, very good.

    I agree that the “middle station” would be bigger. In fact, it would require 6 tracks instead of 4 (two center tracks for high speed passing; just provide enough distance from the platforms; it is safer; plus two island platforms per direction. Overall, this station would need about 12 meters more in width than a 4-track station. This layout would also allow connections at the time when the network is Y-shaped (as opposed to the final (or hypothetical) X-shape. Depending on where the heavier end is, this “big” station could also serve for reversing not running through trains. So, there would be quite a few operational advantages for an (IMHO) marginally higher price.

    Even if operation patterns are flexible, it would be worthwile to look at them at construction times. The pattern with a “strong” center station would definitely send a message the the Central Valley.

    Of course, the strong center station connections would (have to) fit between two express services (in lower density scheduling, or set up so that the “intermediate express” passes the “regionals” while they exchange passengers in the middle station.

    Joey Reply:

    The time savings might be great enough that it might make sense for a few trains to bypass LA, for instance you might see one SF-SD express per hour.

    Howard Reply:

    Cajon pass is too steep to get through and tunneling is to expensive for today’s technology. I propose a future Victorville to Palm Springs bypass of LA and the Inland Empire. This bypass would take passengers from Fresno, Bakersfield, Palmdale and Victorville to Palm Springs and Phoenix. This route has no competing air travel. It might even provide a low cost way to get high speed trains between Las Vegas and Phoenix. Of course it would come after the phase 3 extension from Riverside to Phoenix.

    Joey Reply:

    Ehh? The easiest route from Victorville to Palm Springs is through Cajón and San Bernardino.

    VBobier Reply:

    There is another way to get from Victorville to Palm Springs, head out towards the Lucern Valley, then head south towards Landers and then off to Palm Springs, It can be done by car now, some might take that route when the pass is closed due to snow(Hwys 18-247-62), a full tank is a must though as It’s the long way home.

    Joey Reply:

    Not a terrible route, I guess. It’s about the same length as the Cajón route, and somewhat easier (no cities and fewer tunnels, though certainly not tunnel-free). You do miss the opportunity for a major junction in the vicinity of Colton though, which would allow SF-SD, LA-Palm Springs/Phoenix, SD-Palm Springs/Phoenix, etc, etc all using the same routes. You also miss the opportunity for a major station at San Bernardino.

    thatbruce Reply:

    And you’ve still got the problem of getting from high desert to low desert.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    The difference in travel distance, going by Google Maps, is 67 km, the same as the difference between Tejon and the Tehachapis. Palmdale-Riverside is much faster via Cajon, but Bakersfield-Riverside is a wash.

    Joey Reply:

    This was primarily based on the assumption of Tehachapis rather than Tejon as well as the fact that speeds would be much higher than through the LA basin.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    I doubt speeds are really going to beat the LA Basin, apart from the smaller number of stations. A Cajon tunnel would have to involve steep grades, limiting speed. Conversely, unlike on the Peninsula, in the LA Basin the plan is to run trains at high speed, I believe 150 mph.

    Andrew Reply:

    Yes, the whole thing is based on the assumption of the main line going thru Tehachapi, the way it is planned now. The Cajon bypass makes even more sense on the assumption that it would cut straight from Cajon NW towards somewhere north of Lancaster, skipping Palmdale (which would already be served by the main line). People going between San Diego, Phoenix, Inland Empire etc. and NorCal/CV would save on the order of 30-40 minutes by using the bypass, partly because of skipping several stops (again, this is assuming Tehachapi). Under this scenario, the bypass line would converge with DX and LA-Phoenix at S Bdno, an ideal transfer hub if its residents will consent to all the bullet train traffic.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    30-40? More like 15-20, and all for a market that’s already going to be served at high frequency by combining LA-SD and LA-SF trains. It just isn’t worth it.

    Andrew Reply:

    No, 30-40. We’re comparing a) Riverside – SBdno – Bako and b) Riverside – wherever – wehrever – LA – wherever – wherever – Palmdale – Bako. For reference, official site shows Palmdale-Riverside as 59 mins.

    80 miles with one stop vs. 140 miles with six stops…even with no LA basin stops and going at the high urban speed somebody else mentioned of 150 mph, the extra 60 miles would add 24 minutes. With all six stops, you’re looking at twice that. Where did you get 15-20?

    Joey Reply:

    My very rough calculations say that you would probably save about 20-25 minutes based on that 59 minute number. This is based on 320 km/h from Palmdale to Cajón, 200 through Cajón, and 160 approaching San Bernardino and down to Riverside, including stops at Palmdale, San Bernardino, and Riverside. This is definitely less time savings than I originally anticipated (it usually is), though it still might be worth routing a few trains through Cajón if you were building it anyway. But truthfully I can’t imagine many reasons why you would build it anyway.

    Joey Reply:

    And a minor point – all of the alignments I’ve seen show more or less periodic curves through the LA basin that would limit speeds to much less that 150 mph. But it doesn’t matter for the purposes of this discussion as we got that 59 minute number from the Authority anyway.

    Andrew Reply:

    The thing is, the proposed bypass also bypasses Palmdale. This saves another stop and miles of detour. Try the calculations with (a) 80 miles with one stop vs. 140 miles with six stops, as an upper limit of time savings, and (b) 80 miles with one stop vs. 140 miles with three stops, as a lower limit. Stops add 4-5 minutes each. Minimum time difference is 32 minutes, even skipping Ontario, Industry and Burbank and using the searing 150 mph urban speed Alon was referencing. Just to make sure we’re on the same page, here’s the bypass map.

    As for OTHER reasons to build Cajon, the most important one is connecting with Victorville/DX. Palmdale/Sylmar would be many miles out of DX’s way.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    First, it’s not 60 miles. Trying to cut a few more km by going through Lancaster won’t work – it’s a trivial time saving, a lot of grade separations, and more likely an unnecessary line since DX is going to build Palmdale-Victorville by itself. Using mildly realistic numbers for a bypass, it’s 126 km, vs. 201 according to the official alignment. 75 km. (67 is using Google Maps for the HSR route rather than the CAHSR trip planner).

    Second, 75 km/240 km/h = 18.75 minutes.

    Third, you must be the only person who thinks every station a train passes near has to be served. Even Synon sometimes acknowledges you can pass stations. I think at the end CAHSR isn’t going to be skipping stops in the LA Basin or in the Bay Area, but that’s out of lower demand for super-express trains than for high frequency to intermediate stops.

    Fourth, extra stops are a feature, not a bug. This is especially true of LAUS, the only truly necessary stop on the route. The higher frequency coming from serving SF-SD trips on the same trains as the much larger SF-LA and LA-SD markets is a good thing.

    Fifth, in contrast, the route you’ve drawn has a very sharp curve at San Bernardino, and can’t reach the officially proposed UC Riverside station location (or in general the 215 route to SD) without taking another sharp curve. Basically, you’ve locked in two places where trains have to stop because there’s little reason not to, which is one more than on the official route.

    Andrew Reply:

    Alon, numerous errors here. I’d prefer to use km too, but the official map gives stuff in miles and people are quoting speed figures in miles, so let’s stick with English this time. the offficial map shows 126 miles river-palm, then there’s another 11 roughly to the proposed junction, = 137 mi. The rough sketch proposed bypass is about 80 miles, so the difference is about 57 miles, not 47 or whatever you’re working with. Also not 60 as I estimated yesterday — saw palmdale station location today was farther N than I thought. No more time now, I’ll finish this evening….

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Yes, it’s 126 miles, i.e. 201 km. And your route is not 57 miles shorter, because the time saving vs. making it just 75 km shorter is so small (4 minutes at 150 mph) that there’s no point in the extra capital cost. Remember, Victorville-Palmdale is essentially free – and if for some reason DX builds Cajon in the next 15 years, then the best connection point for SF-LV is Mojave-Barstow.

    Andrew Reply:

    Alon, continuing from where I left off this morning…

    * Repeating, it’s 126+11=137 miles, not 126 miles. If you have a different alignment in mind than the one in the map, then please say so, so we can talk about one thing at a time. It would be great to have an alternative map so we could compare them and see what others think…..Also, please let us use one set of units at a time.

    * I am taking Tehachapi for granted (since the main line has to go somewhere and Tehachapi is the current plan), but there is no reason to take Victorville-Palmdale for granted. I think it is safe to say that DX would not build that segment if they had the option of connecting with HSR in the Inland Empire, providing a shorter and faster route to Vegas for many more people. What I’m suggesting is that we get a future Phoenix-LA line and an SD-NorCal (LA bypass) line into the discussion, and thereby allow DX to refocus their attention (and hopefully resources) on a more rational Cajon alignment. I cannot accept your reasoning that we should take advantage of the fact that “Victorville-Palmdale is essentially free.” A wasteful and irrational alignment is not free, especially when you count the opportunity cost of not having that money put towards building through Cajon. Thus in addition to its own merits, the proposed bypass line offers the potential of forestalling the construction of an irrational line between Victorville and Palmdale (which, as you pointed out, would not be of value to NorCal either).

    * Your accusation that I “must be the only person who thinks every station a train passes near has to be served” is odd, given that I had explicitly compared the speed of the bypass to that of a train passing through LA but skipping half the stations (3 out of 6). As I pointed out, even if it skipped ALL the stations, it would still take considerably longer. It’s even more odd that, after making the above accusation, you predicted that hsr is NOT actually going to end up skipping stations in the LA basin. Based on that scenario, the bypass line would be stopping at FIVE fewer stations (1 (SBdno) versus 6), in which case the time difference would not be 30-40 minutes, but well over 40.

    * YOu mentioned “extra stops are a feature, not a bug”. This is precisely what I’m always telling people. Your contention was that adding stops would provide the ridership to support more frequent departures. You did not explicitly relate that to the bypass line, but I assume you meant to suggest that the frequency of departures would be jeopardized by the bypass line. There are several logical and factual problems with this suggestion. First, we need to remember that the LA-Palmdale segment will also be served by trains originating from Anaheim, if I am correct in assuming that these will not be terminating in LA. Also, under the overall scenario I am proposing, service on the Inland Empire-LA section would be supplemented by Vegas-LA trains (and eventually Arizona-LA trains). Therefore, the bypass line also would also serve as a relief line for *potential* future bottlenecks in the LA basin. Moreover, by providing much-improved service between many destinations on the system (eg, Fresno/Sac/SJose to IE/SDiego), the bypass would attract more ridership to the system and thus support a general INCREASE in frequency of departures. There is no reason to believe that it would decrease train frequency in the LA basin. Finally, we need to remember that the important issue of departure frequency is ultimately just a subcomponent of convenience. Having more trains is one way to increase convenience; having selected trains use faster bypass routes is another way to do so.

    * Just in terms of norms of discussion, if you’re making a counterproposal, then say so; don’t just use language that implies that someone’s estimations are simply wrong. Ie, rather than saying “30-40? More like 15-20″, you should say, “It’s not cost-effective to build the line straight past Palmdale and Lancaster as you drew it, so the proposed bypass line would have to go thru Palmdale, in which case the time savings would only be ….” Two people cannot carry on a discussion if they are talking about two different things. The rest of us can only assume that you realized your own number was off and therefore changed the basis of your calculation mid-discussion (“Oh, I didn’t mean the line on your map; I meant one going through Palmdale”).

    * You mentioned that the route I drew would force trains to stop at San Bernardino and Riverside. My earlier comments already made clear that I fully intended S Bdno to be a stop, and I was counting it in all time comparisons, except the one that had no stops along EITHER route. I referred to SB as a future transfer hub. As for Riverside, I was using that as the starting line for the time comparisons, assuming trains would be stopping there either way. If express trains thru LA WOULD be skipping Riverside AND there is no way to configure a bypass line such that it could also skip Riverside, then the bypass line’s advantage in fewer stops would be reduced by one. But assuming all trains stop at Riverside, we’re comparing 1 stop on the proposed bypass line versus 6 on the main line (minus any stops skipped on the Ontario-Palmdale segment).

    On a more conciliatory note, I know this exchange has distracted you from more important and expert discussions with other contributors, so I propose that after your next reply we call this one a day.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Everybody keeps telling me I have a tl;dr problem on my blog, and now I’m being told to write more and draw maps. Sigh.

    Anyway:

    - You’re completely ignoring the sharp curves in your alignment, and the sharp curve that is not in your alignment but should be if it’s modified at the southern end to actually be able to reach the proposed UC Riverside stop and San Diego. That’s why I said your alignment forces those two extra stops. It’s not a question of service plan; it’s a question of those curves being so slow trains lose little from stopping. For example, to turn from the 91 Line to the 215 requires takings, and if you don’t want to start leveling residential areas you’re limited to about 80 mph. If you want to avoid takings you have have to go on 215 instead of the railroad, but then the turn is sharper – about 1,500 feet, which corresponds to 62 mph.

    - If you want to talk about stupid alignments, then don’t be selective. For one, Pacheco is stupid, especially in the presence of the second tube you advocate. (SF-LA via a second tube is 10 minutes faster than via Pacheco, and the cost difference is much smaller than that of Cajon vs. not-Cajon). The current plan for SoCal is also pretty bad compared to LA-OC-SD and LA-IE on a spur; LA-SD directly would save 47 miles, going by a highway alignment, and reduce the amount of frequency splitting rather than increasing it as you want to.

    - Marginal markets, i.e. any market that doesn’t involve LA or a connection from the Upper CV to the Bay Area, don’t actually increase ridership all that much – certainly not enough to justify adding frequency. (And remember, the less important frequency is, the stupider Pacheco is.) What you’re saying about Palmdale is neither here nor there – we’re discussing the fastest trains from the Bay Area to SoCal, not local high-speed commuter runs.

    - If DX connects to LA via Cajon, then the optimal way to connect SF and LV is Mojave-Barstow. Going by highway alignments again, the difference is 70 vs. 208 miles via LA and Cajon, and the route is flat and unpopulated. Alternatively, there’s Victorville-Palmdale, the current plan. Think very long and hard whether the savings of a few minutes in the high desert justify building an entirely new line. I don’t think they do; basically, instead of using the line you did use, I was using the slightly less unworkable line you should’ve used using the same concept. So sue me. I was also assuming you can actually connect to San Diego, which requires modifying the southernmost few miles on your map.

    - Having more trains is convenient; it’s also costlier, in terms of track and terminal capacity (remember how bad Transbay is going to be?) and to some extent operating costs.

    Andrew Reply:

    REsponding to Beta M’s question way up thread (“Why bypass Los Angeles?”): For people traveling between anywhere N of Palmdale and anywhere east/south of Ontario (including PHoenix) — regions whose combined population is much greater than that of LA/Orange Co. — bypassing LA would save considerable time. This is assuming Tehachapi gets picked over TEjon (a future LA-SDiego coastal route would also affect this). You’re right, few people are going to ride HSR between, say, Phoenix and SF, but I think you’re underestimating the upper limit of HSR trips. People will take a slower route if it’s more comfortable and convenient. Eg, I regularly rode shinkansen b/t Okayama and Tokyo for this reason — a long ride, but in style. Several trains an hour, leaves me right downtown, etc.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Okayama-Tokyo is the same distance as SF-LA. The distances you’re thinking of are closer to Tokyo-Fukuoka, on which market HSR has 8% of the air/rail market.

    Now, average speeds in California are going to be higher than in Japan, and the flying experience is worse. HSR could get a nontrivial mode share on this market, though the ridership model still expects it to get less than 50%. But consider this: the SF-SD market is still not large enough to justify a train all by itself. The existence of such service is merely a nice consequence of the fact that SF-LA and LA-SD are both sizable markets by themselves.

    Andrew Reply:

    I agree with all of this, for the really long hauls. Tokyo-Fukuoka is a flight for most people. However, “the distances [I am] thinking of” are not (mainly) these, but ALL possible trips from the minimum San Bdno-Bako on up. I expect these shorter trips will be a big chunk of hsr rides. Even relatively long trips like SDiego-SJose or SDiego-Sac are worth taking the train for — 3 hours or less using the bypass route. That’s the sweet spot.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Okay, so you’re traveling from Riverside to Bakersfield. The alternative option is to drive for about 3 hours. What’s more useful to you: a train that comes every hour and takes 1:20, or a train that comes every 15 minutes and takes 1:40?

    Andrew Reply:

    Alon, I suggested every third train, so the comparison of every 15 mins vs every hour is way off. Also, the difference is 30-40 mins, not 20 mins. See other reply.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    There’s not enough of a market for every third train. Even it if makes every single stop along the route it may avoid too many large markets to fill a train (LA-Bako, LA-Fresno, LA-SF, LA-SD), and if you’re stopping in the Central Valley you lose all time advantage coming from a bypass.

    Andrew Reply:

    Also, Phoenix line would still go to LA, not bypass it.

    Beta Magellan Reply:

    ^^^ We’ll see if that holds, Howard (and if Desert Xpress is able to get up-and-running, too—if Palmdale’s advantages disappear in the review CHSRA shouldn’t make LA-SF more difficult to facilitate LA-LV).

    Anyway, I can empathize with those of you in California over choosing a segment that doesn’t hit one of the two big population centers first—in Illinois all the funding for our medium-speed rail project has gone to areas south of Chicago. I’m not much of an Amtrak+ fan, but many of the improvements in the Chicago metropolitan area would also benefit rail freight (one might even be able to argue they primarily benefit freight) so the city’s losing out on that front, too (some of the biggest delays to Amtrak’s Michigan services are in the Chicago metro area as well, so there’s a similar situation there as well).

    In any event, all the official and quasi-official suggestions for true high-speed between Chicago and St. Louis suggest starting from Union Station (or a new, adjacent terminal) and then having the first segment go to Champaign. However, given this state’s politics I don’t think anyone would be surprised if a Champaign-Springfield segment were actually built first. Of course, Illinois doesn’t have any basins and mountains to deal with, either, so there’d be less of an excuse for doing things that way.

  10. paul dyson
    Sep 11th, 2011 at 09:45
    #10

    Robert, you are clutching at straws here. There is no analogy between the French filling a small gap in their existing network, and using existing electrified tracks to complete through journeys, and the CA decision to begin construction in the SJV. The added utility of a half dozen SJ Amtrak trains being able to run at 110mph for a segment of the route is de minimus. No one who cares about how scarce taxpayer resources are spent would advocate such a thing.
    This is not France. We don’t have a compatible existing network. We have our own set of circumstances, regulations, peculiarities of ownership, history, geography, demographics. Having realized, (I hope we have), that Santa Claus is not going to fund a complete network we had better go back to the drawing board and decide how to best spend the money we have available to grow a system incrementally. To build track without meaningful connections at each end, and without the means to connect to Los Angeles, and only very slowly to the Bay Area, based on the hope that somehow the money will be found to extend it, is a travesty, and will set back the cause of passenger rail in this country, likely for decades.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    The “we don’t have a compatible existing network” argument is weakened because California is not the first place not having a compatible existing network.

    The Shin kan sen in Japan is non-compatible to the main network. The Spanish high speed network is non-compatible to the existing network, and, back to Japan, the Maglev line under construction is non-compatible in any way.

    I am not sure which section of the Tokaido shin kan sen was operational first, but it for sure was not Shinjuku – Shin Yokohama… In Spain, it was definitely not a connection between Atocha and some place in the burbs. And the Japanese Maglev line is really out in the boonies…

    On the other hand, if you look at the network in California, the Central Valley is the spine of the network. Any connection between north and south uses the Central Valley segment. So, any line you build between north and south will get through the Central Valley.

    There is something I kind of get from the discussions on this site, which astonishes me to some extent. Despite the fact, that it is supposed to be a high speed line, almost every small town along the line expects a station. This is not HSR… In comparison to France again, the LGV Méditeranée has (generously counted) 4 stops (and a fifth one is talked about). The station at the north end (Valence TGV) is connected only to the high speed line towards Lyon, and Aix-en-Provence TGV is just a few kilometers north of Marseille (some people call it even “Marseille bis”). This leaves station distances of roughly 80 and 50 miles. So, definitiely not a commuter line…

    synonymouse Reply:

    The CHSRA scheme is not hsr. It is three BART’s casually linked by meandering routes thru the boonies.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Fresno and Bakersfields aren’t the boonies. Rest stops miles out on I-5, miles and miles away from where people live and work is the boonies.

    Brian Stanke Reply:

    Yes because BART, like HSR:
    - Designed all it’s stations with express tracks
    - Used worldwide standards for electrification, signaling, and track gauge
    - Was designed in consultation with over half a dozen countries’ rail authorities
    - Spent millions of dollars to help cities plan for TOD around stations and prioritize walkability and transit
    - Had it’s ridership model validated by a foreign third party (SNCF) and an independent review panel

    Oh wait, BART did none of those things.

    So no, it is Not at all like BART.

    D. P. Lubic Reply:

    This would give me more confidence in the California system, despite the complaints some lodge here about the influence of overpaid consultants. . .of course, the reliance on consultants is because the legislature never properly staffed the CAHSRA. . .

    Alon Levy Reply:

    The full Tokaido Shinkansen opened in one sweep. The Sanyo Shinkansen first opened from Shin-Osaka to Okayama, and thence the rest of the way to Fukuoka. The Tohoku and Joetsu Shinkansen first opened from Omiya to Morioka and Niigata, and then slowly made their way south, first to Ueno and then to Tokyo, before continuing north to Hachinohe and finally Shin-Aomori.

    It’s not really true that every small town along the CAHSR route expects a stop. Fresno and Bakersfield do, but these aren’t small towns – they just sprawl a lot. Hanford was not going to get a stop – it’s only getting a stop because CAHSR is starting from the Central Valley. The average stop spacing between SF and LA, including Hanford, is 63 km, which is nearly twice the average stop spacing on the Tokaido Shinkansen. Even the LGV Rhone-Alpes + Mediterranee has an average stop spacing of 83 km, not much more than the CAHSR route.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Your astonishment can be explained by the California State Constitution.

    Municipal corporations can file charters with the Secretary of State and gain tremendous power over local affairs. Thus, unlike in France and Japan which are unitary governments even at the state level… you have to play nice with the cities.

    Secondly, in previous Board meetings the designers have all but said you can’t meet HSR times unless you stop only in San Fran, San Jose, slowdown to People Mover speed to get passengers on in Fresno, and then reach Union Station in L.A.

    But…keep in mind that no private operator or concessionaire is going to pay the state to use the track unless you kill off competing state subsidized services. (Of course, a concessionaire will let Amtrak California live if the state pays them to operate it.)

    The compromise therefore is going to be a melange of different routes which will all be comparable to flying, but not necessarily use the entire route. LA-SF will be the signature route, but may actually carry fewer passengers than other ones. Why you ask? Because even today most airlines get the bulk of their revenue from first class tickets and break even on coach. So, if the majority of business scoot between downtown, the vast majority of travelers might not.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    You seriously underestimate the power of NIMBYs in other countries. Japan has very strong property rights protections and has very difficult time doing any eminent domain. Building Narita Airport resulted in resident riots, which created a serious possibility that the airport would not be built. American-style urban freeways and urban renewal are impossible because they require condemning too much land, and as a result Tokyo’s urban freeways are elevated over existing avenues and usually have just two lanes in each direction.

    As for what you say about concessionaires, I doubt they would care too much about a hagfish like Amtrak California. If I were in charge of a concessionaire, I would ignore it but instead demand that the state not subsidize any competing freeway and airport expansion; to expand freeways or airports, the state would need to charge market-rate tolls or privatize.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Again, Max Wyss’s question was why would the Authority entertain so many stations given that in France and Japan there is no such equivalent. What I said was that irrespective of how much resistance there is, the cities have a lot of leverage here even compared to other states because the Authority really wants downtown stations and because cities have a lot of planning power.

    As for you comment about hagfish (I assume that’s a joke about evolution)… HSR will be the only method of travel that if subsidized could be cheaper than driving or air. Amtrak California is so heavily subsidized that it could steal short-hop passengers away from the concessionaire which would pull down ridership but not hurt operating revenues that much. However, if the concessionaire is a publicly traded company, it won’t want competition for ridership because that will increase the chance it overpays to borrow money….

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Once the HSR system is complete there won’t be any Amtrak service. There aren’t enough people or passengers at the stations that won’t have HSR to make it worthwhile to run trains to them.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    But in Japan there is such equivalent! It’s France that doesn’t have as many intermediate stations…

    I really don’t understand the second paragraph. Could you rephrase? What you’re saying is that Amtrak California could steal passengers by competing on price – never mind that it at best is half as fast and half as frequent – but free roads and subsidized airports are not a threat.

    By the way, the hagfish comment comes from how Amtrak’s operating practices date to the Cambrian Period. Also, they’re both slimy and jawless, but that was unintentional. I don’t know if that’s the joke about evolution you were thinking of.

    RisenMessiah Reply:

    What I’m saying is that if Amtrak California stays alive it will kill much of the demand for your Bakersfield to Fresno traffic… your San Jose to Stockton traffic….and your LA to SD traffic. The reason is that if the different price is monumental, passengers will take a slower route. If not, someone ought to tell Southwest Airlines before they keep routing their entire fleet through Bum-shit-a-stan.

    But from a political viewpoint, if you don’t run these routes on HSR…you don’t get the statewide buy-in you need to complete the project. You don’t need unholy alliances between BART and Metro and Palo Alto trying to undercut the project.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Bakersfield to Fresno, maybe. San Jose to Stockton? First, under Pacheco the demand for it is going to be zero. Second, under Altamont, the difference in travel time is such that only really cash-strapped people would take Amtrak California, and if Amtrak California died, they’d switch to buses. The same is true of LA-SD; anyone who’s willing to ride a highway-speed train if it’s cheaper than a train-speed train is going to keep going for highway-speed transportation no matter what.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    In France, eminent domain is rarely used, if ever. All is done through bargaining. Like “You give up your house and we build you a nicer one”. It’s never used for farmland. There are so many laws protecting farmers that nobody, not even the state, can win a lawsuit against them. The result is that all takings are paid above market price. That’s why LGVs avoid built-up areas or land with high market value.
    When owners refuse to sell projects have to be abandoned. It happened for the LGV spur to Nice. The 1st tourist destination after Paris will thus remain out of the LGV map for the foreseeable future.

    Joey Reply:

    The first Spanish AVE line didn’t open until it was 100% complete, all the way from Madrid to Sevilla. AFAIK the entire thing was constructed in two years. The Madrid-Barcelona line was more staged, though when it was opened it was mostly complete, going all the way from Madrid to Lleida.

    ericmarseille Reply:

    Explanation to Aix-en-Provence station : rich pigs.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    I once took the TGV from Aix to Paris and parking my car cost me €95, nearly as much as my trip to Paris and back. I’ve heard the parking lot has now been enlarged and made less expensive.
    You can also park at Marseille airport and take the airport shuttle (15 mn ride) to the station.
    Although it’s called “Aix-en-Provence TGV”, the station is much closer to Marseille’s northern suburbs and airport than it is to Aix.
    The station owes its creation to intense lobbying by the city’s mayor supported by rich influential residents. SNCF was not very enthusiastic but its pessimistic predictions have proved wrong, partly thanks to Marseille’s downtown congestion. The station has over 4 million riders/year, most of them from Marseille. Depending on where you live, getting to St Charles (downtown station) in time for your train may be problematic. On the other hand, if you don’t live too far from a freeway exchange you can reach Aix-TGV in a matter of minutes. Kiss-and-ride is very common and avoids the parking rip-off.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    On the other hand, considering the 50 km radius a TGV station serves, Aix-en-Provence TGV is not a bad location; as described, better accessible than St.Charles (except by rail; for rail connections, it will be St.Charles).

    ericmarseille Reply:

    True enough.

    Rich pigs by the way are also the reason there was that insane debate on the projected PACA line stops ; rich loonies from Nice wanted the most direct way between Paris and their city (of course! what else?) ; Toulon? Aaaaw no! Marseille? Puuuleaaaase, come on! Let’s not even LOOK at those warts on our way to Paris!

    Now that common sense has prevailed, let’s remember that Toulon is 500000+ inhab. and that Marseille had obviously to be on the line as the anchor of the future in-and-out-PACA High Speed network, and when it’s done, I predict, traffic will explode litterally in the region.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Interesting, I just looked at the lgvpaca website, and they are in the middle of public hearings now.

    Well, the chosen route (scenario) is definitely not the one at the lowest cost, considering a new station in the underground of Marseille St.Charles etc. Something leaving the LGV Mediterannée after Aix-en-Provence TGV and then more or less following the autoroute might have cost less. But then, there is still the question about Toulon. So, I guess that the current choice is the best possible compromise. And I wonder how much business they can get from the Italy – Spain routes…

    However, there may be a litle bit of a bias towards the Region, and not as strictly to the network. The LGV PACA is part of the European high speed network, and not a fast intercity line within the PACA… but that’s just my perception.

    ericmarseille Reply:

    As much as I find ridiculous the German official policy to divert a line in order to serve the centertown of every 100k+ inhab. town between two real regional centers, I admit it is indispensable for the PACA line to pass through Marseille (which is to become France’s L.A. and has the potential to grow to at least 2-3 Million inhab.), and to service Toulon on the way (500k and growing).
    Toulon is stuck between mountain and sea, it will be very difficult to build the line and find a proper solution.
    it’s still way more rewarding for France to build that very costly and very difficult line than to build an entire line between Poitiers and Limoges (WTF?!)

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Well, St. Charles is a stub-end station. So the PACA line will most likely not involve any trains stopping in Marseille on their way to Nice – and even if they could, SNCF likes running nonstop trains, which is why Paris-Marseille and Paris-Nice trains don’t stop at Saint-Exupery. Toulon’s going to get a stop, but Toulon already is served by TGVs taking about 3:40, just at low frequency. When I rode the TGV from Nice to Paris and back, a huge fraction of the ridership got on/off at Toulon, and the train was practically empty near Nice.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Alon (and ericmarseille): All the options presented at the current public hearings round contain a new underground run-through station in St.Charles (snoop around a bit on the lgvpaca.fr website to see the various “scenarios”). Also, depending on the scenario, Toulon would get a “downtown” underground station, or a station in the east or west. Not being very familiar with Toulon, I can not say what’s bringing most advantages. BTW, project costs for this new line, being around 240 km long with 150 to 210 km new high speed line, and 80 to 90 km of tunnels, and a connection to the Italian border vary around EUR 18 bn (in 2008 Euros)…

    ericmarseille Reply:

    To me, a Parisian for 39 years berfore moving to Marseille and now close to Toulon, the costliest solution is the only one : underground station under St Charles (for a lot of reasons, not the least respecting the shortest time between Paris and Nice), and underground station under Toulon centertown (for geographic and urbanistic reasons) ; costly ; enormously costly ; but key to the success and development of a whole region.

    ericmarseille Reply:

    I forgot to answer your main topic Max : PACA region, though already urbanized, has still an enormous development potential ; Intra PACA HSR is absolutely key to the realization of that potential ; 2 goals must be achieved in parallel : ensuring the fastest link to Paris from any of the southern cities, and ensuring a very fluid (read : fast) mobility between those cities, which is absolutely not the case to this day, and I know that firsthand.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Yeah, I realized that there was a tunnel option too late. It’s good for frequency if they make St. Charles a through-station, obviously. But, how much cheaper would it be to build something like a Shin-Marseille station? That is, a through-station just outside downtown, for example at Blancarde, which is still in an urban location rather than out in the fields as the stations on the LGVs are. It would achieve similar travel time to the underground option, or perhaps slightly worse because of speed restrictions on legacy track in Marseille (but even that might be upgraded as in Lille), but cost much less.

    A Shin-Marseille station would also allow, under current LGV infrastructure, to serve Marseille and Toulon on the same line, boosting frequency to Toulon.

    ericmarseille Reply:

    A shin-Marseille station isn’t the solution because the billions that have been poured into redeveloping Marseille since the completion of the TGV Mediterranée line (saaaaay….) are centered on a quadrangle Joliette -Saint Barnabé-Timone-Borély ; the aim is to do what was done to Paris in the 50′s, to push the poor away from centertown (project euromeditérranée) ; in this design, Saint Charles becomes a transportation hub ; to leave it out of the PACA line is, in my opinion, incomprehensible (except for cost matters, but hey, once you’ve chose a solution, you must stick to it, not water it down).

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Eric: Indeed, there is a big transportation potential along the Cote d’Azur, and the current schedules do show that; bi-levels at rather short intervals, making me believe that you can get around a lot without depending on a car (that’s I think mainly between Cannes and Nice/Menton). So, yeah, the LGV is definitely a way to provide the longer-distance transportation. (I wish they had such service at my end of the Paca…)

    Alon: shin-Marseille would actually be Aix-en-Provence TGV, with accordingly good connections towards Marseille center. But as Eric states, considering the developments around St.Charles, it would not make thaaat much sense. The question is also whether the underground station would be used for high speed only, or whether some TER services would use it as well (similar to the Zürich Löwenstrasse station under construction right now). That could allow some through running Miramas–Aubagne, for example.

    The price of St.Charles souterrain (and other underground city center stations) is higher, but if there is the political will to go for them, they indeed have the advantages over the “shin-city” stations.

    Brian Stanke Reply:

    Mr. Dyson,

    Let’s assume that you are 100% right and we should redirection all Federal money to the Bakersfield to Palmdale segment. How would work?

    We need to obligate the ARRA funds by Sept. 2012 and complete work by 2017. How would you do that for the Bakersfield to Palmdale segment?

    The answer is you can’t. While the Merced to the Bakersfield segments will have final environmental clearance by early 2012, the Bakersfield to Palmdale segment won’t be done until mid 2013 the earliest. If the state decides to bring back the Grapevine as an alternative the EIR will be delayed even more. Under your plan California misses the statutory deadlines the loses all Fedral ARRA funds

    paul dyson Reply:

    I would rather not take the federal funds and build a fundamentally flawed project. I would spend as much as possible in upgrades such as LAUS run through, realign Palmdale – Sylmar, grade seps on the Peninsula, and start on a low cost interim Bakersfield – Palmdale alignment.
    As far as Japan and Spain are concerned, the commitment was made by each administration to construct the line from end to end. We have no such commitment here. Indeed we have little more than a wish by the voters that someone else will come up with most of the money and a mandate to borrow the rest, given certain conditions, to be repaid by future generations. Let the electorate vote to tax themselves to pay for something like Prop R in Los Angeles and it might make sense.

    Peter Reply:

    So, you think that a project that is not “fundamentally flawed” would not include a high speed alignment in the Central Valley?

    Also, G.O. Bond funding does mean that we will tax ourselves to pay for it. Just not right now.

    joe Reply:

    What is THE FUNDAMENTAL that *is* flawed?

    Indeed we have little more than a wish by the voters that someone else will come up with most of the money and a mandate to borrow the rest, given certain conditions, to be repaid by future generations

    OMG! This project is being run exactly like the Golden Gate Bridge fiasco tat linked SF to Marin.

    We should CAHSR like a business. Which would *borrow* the money and invest into a system that “customers” aka voters want”. Like FORD which borrowed money to invest and product and is paying that debt back.

    D. P. Lubic Reply:

    Off topic, but fun enough to share:

    Paul, I clicked on your name to check your link, and found you are a member of the Rail Passenger Association of California and Nevada. Looking around that site, I came across these items, which I think can be said to be one of the advantages of rail travel, at least in intercity service:

    http://www.railpac.org/2011/09/09/train-travel-its-the-people-you-meet-that-make-a-difference/

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/foothillsccriders/sets/72157627471154712/show/

    I would bet Jim SF would second this comment.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    DP, one of the advantages of taking your car everywhere is that you don’t have to meet people. For some it’s the major advantage. . . some are so frightened of meeting other people that they sit in endless traffic so that they don’t have to take the train, bus, plane, ferry etc.

    Peter Reply:

    Hell, even on the train you don’t have to meet people.

    My friend working in Zurich for Google has complained that no one on the trains there talk to one another. Back in Berlin he could always chat with someone on the S-Bahn, and he misses that.

    Max Wyss Reply:

    Welcome to Züri, friend of Peter, you will get used of that. An advice: never try to start chatting with someone reading the 20 Minuten or the Blick am Abend… (for the non-familiar, these are the free commuter rags everybody reads during the morning/evening commute on the S-Bahn).

    Alon Levy Reply:

    I think the bit about meeting people is truer on long-distance trains than on HSR. I presume the social behavior on HSR is going to look like what I routinely see on the Regional, and what I saw on the TGV, and there people do not talk to strangers. The stories I’ve read of how everyone talks to everyone on a train are from traveling in a coach (or shared sleeper) on a train that takes multiple days to reach your destination as opposed to hours.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Special rules along the I-95 corridor north of Richmond….

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Same as along the A6/7/8, it seems.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Real Americans think Noo Yawkers and to some extent Northeasterners are rude, cold, brusque etc. Northeasterners think Real Americans …. can’t shut up.

    When you live in one of those walkable vibrant neighborhoods you day is filled with many many face to face encounters. Your circle of friends can be wide and at the same time close by. Your social interaction needs are easily fulfilled. At times they are over flowing. You don’t need to …say hello to every schmuck you meet on the street. Even if you were possessed of that urge there’s too many people on the street. Got the urge to spill your guts? You have easy access to lots of people you actually know well enough to spill your guts to. No need to make small talk for an hour and half with your seat mate on Acela….or TGV…
    …the rubes from the boonies on the other hand can go days or even weeks without being within proximity of someone. They just love to chat with any random person they stumble across.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Sure, and Noo Yawkers think New Englanders are cold and reserved. And conversely, I once heard that Texans wave at people coming in their pickup trucks in the opposite direction because “it’s called being nice.” In other words, it happens infrequently enough you can realistically do it.

    jimsf Reply:

    I dislike smal talk and chit chat and all the compulsory american “how are you” “Oh Im fine” Its so ridiculous. One french told me that over there you only ask your close friends how they are doing, not strangers. Makes sense.
    In sf I never talk to or look at anyone on the street or metro because if you do they will ask you to give them something.

  11. synonymouse
    Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:02
    #11

    The CHSRA scheme is just plain crappy, very much akin to the Muni Central Subway, whose serious imperfections are beginning to come to light to previously enthusiasitic local pols. Unless you subscribe to the divine infallibility of PB, the default CHSRA priorities are not gospel. They were crafted by politicians and they can be adjusted, given the proper motivation. So make Bako to LA via Tejon project #1.

    If there ever were proof that printing money to subsidize infrastructure spending were poor policy it is the Bay Bridge. Unlike erecting stilts in Palmdale the Bay Bridge replacement benefits from every plus and every advantage. Absolutely necessary and intensively utilized such that both the financing and ongoing maintenance are at least somewhat pay as you go. Still a great part of the economic and jobs benefit was lost from the Chinese outsourcing. We have forgotten that FDR and the New Deal projects were carried out under conditions that were effectively very much like those in the Soviet Union or Germany in the same era. Namely everything was produced internally in those countries.

    Globalization has changed all that, except perhaps for China. And don’t expect any “grants”, some sort of international deus ex machina to bankroll boondoggles. In the end they will have to be enabled by guarantees on the taxpayers’ dime. Ditto for maintenance and operating subsidies, notwithstanding hallucinations of San Joaquin residents abandoning their cherished rides to make day trips on stilts to Palmdale..

    neville snark Reply:

    synonymouse, not only have you got a great user name but you’re a well-informed, intelligent and uproariously colourful writer; few people here agree with you, and I don’t agree with you, but it’s good to have your contributions, and your, ahem, opinions. You should write books, and stuff.

    synonymouse Reply:

    Much obliged – now if you could just convince my wife to stop calling me “stupid”

    Actually she says “toopid” as she is from the old country, the very old country.

    VBobier Reply:

    That is impossible syno, She’s a Woman, their always right, don’t Ya know that by now? :)

    D. P. Lubic Reply:

    “She’s a Woman, their always right. . .”-V. Bobier

    That’s why. . .

    I am a man of constant sorrow,
    My wife spends all my pay.

    That’s why we must borrow
    On credit cars to our dying day.

  12. Eric M
    Sep 11th, 2011 at 19:31
    #12

    I’m going to be like Morris. Here is a good article regarding the peer review of ridership numbers. Hehehe

    Eric M Reply:

    “One of the project’s leading critics, Elizabeth Alexis, co-founder of Californians Advocating Responsible Rail Design, remains skeptical. She noted that the peer group merely approved of the progress being made, and that “there are still issues and concerns.”"

    Donk Reply:

    Well at least its nice to see Elizabeth be quoted as the rail critic in articles over somebody else. She is a NIMBY, but at least she is a rational, informed NIMBY.

    RisenMessiah Reply:

    Not to mention…MIA here….

Comments are closed.