It’s Not the Authority’s Fault Nobody Funded It

Jul 10th, 2011 | Posted by

There’s an odd article in today’s Fresno Bee by Tim Sheehan, who usually has written good and insightful articles on the California HSR project. The article,
“What California has to show on high-speed rail — pages of reports and a chorus of concerns”
, is not biased against the project, and the reporting is sound. But it does show a typical problem with American journalism these days – an obsession with “spending” that tends to obscure the true story, that makes government spending seem bad or problematic.

The basic argument of the article is that over 15 years, the California High Speed Rail Authority has spent a lot of money, produced a lot of reports, and hired a lot of consultants. Those are facts, but the article’s tone does seem to imply that those are also problems.

California is about to build the largest public-works project in the state’s history: a system of high-speed, electric passenger trains. And even before a spade of dirt is turned, perhaps late next year, the state will have spent about $630 million.

What does California have to show for it?

Thousands of pages of strategies, studies and plans – and a chorus of concern over the California High-Speed Rail Authority’s budget management and its ability to monitor an army of consultants.

Over the past two years, state oversight agencies repeatedly have cited problems – contract payments made without verifying that work was actually performed, payments for services or equipment not covered in consulting contracts, and a lack of policies and procedures to review invoices and payments.

With spending set to leap from millions of dollars per year in planning to billions per year once construction begins, those worries are now magnified.

One might argue that it’s very, very good that the project has done all that work – it shows this is not a rushed, fly-by-night, unstudied proposal. A lot of work and research has gone into this all-important project. True, it would be nice if it didn’t take two or three decades to bring it to fruition (more if you go back to Jerry Brown’s initial HSR proposal in the early 1980s), but it at least shows careful consideration.

The use of consultants is a major topic of discussion of the article, but Sheehan at least includes some common sense defenses of their use:

Experts say it’s not unusual for states to rely on highly paid consultants for specialized expertise on major engineering projects.

“Would California be able to hire hundreds of employees who are experts in high-speed rail?” said Christopher Barkan, director of the Rail Transportation and Engineering Center at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. “And if it did, where on Earth would it find them?”

And the CHSRA’s Jeff Barker is quoted as pointing out that hiring consultants means the state doesn’t have to hire permanent staff even if they’re only needed for a few years’ worth of work.

The bigger picture here is only hinted at in the article, however – that the CHSRA has been consistently underfunded by the Legislature, making it difficult for them to staff up to properly oversee the project. Sheehan does make some mention of it:

The California High-Speed Rail Authority was created by the state Legislature in 1996 to develop a high-speed train system. In its first decade, only twice did the agency’s annual budget exceed $4 million a year – enough to employ a handful of staff, cover administrative expenses, and hire consultants to do the heavy lifting.

That included a preliminary business plan at a tab of about $5.4 million between 1997 and 2000, and a statewide environmental assessment that totaled more than $17 million between 2000 and 2006.

Intensified planning over the past several years has ramped up the authority’s spending dramatically. As construction approaches, the agency’s budget rocketed from less than $5.2 million in 2005-06 to more than $220 million in the 2010-11 budget year that ended June 30.

The word choices here reflect the typical journalistic attitude toward government spending that we’ve seen since at least the 1970s – that it’s at best a necessary evil, and when it goes up somehow that’s bad. At this time, in the depths of a Depression, government spending is inherently good, and the more of it the better. Unfortunately, 30 years of “omg spending is bad!!!” ideology dies hard, and its persistence is a primary reason why we are in a prolonged Depression rather than climbing out of a short but sharp recession.

The increase in CHSRA spending reflects the fact that the project went from something on the drawing board to something voters approved in 2008. The new spending is there to ensure the project gets built as intended. But because the Legislature and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger kept cutting CHSRA budgets – at one point in 2007 Schwarzenegger proposed cutting the CHSRA budget to just $1 million, which would have been barely enough to keep the lights on.

In recent months, the Authority has begun staffing up. If you go to the CHSRA website right now you can see job announcements for a Chief Financial Officer, a Central Valley Regional Director, and a Chief Program Manager. The most recent Peer Review Report commended the Authority for their work in staffing up. But the Legislature is still threatening to slash CHSRA funding, especially Senators Alan Lowenthal and Joe Simitian who are trying to use the funding as a stick to force the CHSRA to adopt the changes they prefer, even though such changes are not in the best interests of HSR.

The other problem with Sheehan’s article is the lack of historical perspective. There are other major infrastructure projects in California that had a long gestation period. The idea of bridging the San Francisco Bay had been around since at least the 1870s. The concept of a cross-state aqueduct had been around since that time, and in 1919 a detailed report was made for a canal from the Delta to LA via the Tehachapis – which was eventually approved by the Legislature 40 years later.

As to costs, we’ve seen increases on those too. The Golden Gate Bridge was approved by voters in November 1930 at a projected cost of $27 million. The final cost was about $35 million. In 1962, BART was projected to cost $996 million but the final cost was $1.6 billion, which included the significant inflation of the 1960s and 1970s.

Would anyone suggest that the Bay Area would have been better off without the bridges and BART?

Then there’s the Interstate Highway System:

The initial cost estimate for the system was $25 billion over 12 years; it ended up costing $114 billion (adjusted for inflation, $425 billion in 2006 dollars) and took 35 years.

California and the country need to get over their fear of spending. The bigger issue is whether the infrastructure in question is needed for economic growth, environmental sustainability, and energy independence in the 21st century. HSR meets each standard. The cost of doing nothing remains much higher than the cost of construction. It would be nice if we had a media that began looking at government spending in those terms, rather than defaulting to an “omg spending!” frame.

  1. Neville Snark
    Jul 10th, 2011 at 20:48
    #1

    You are exactly right. On some things, it really does take some independence of mind to see round certain unquestioned ideas, such as that spending is necessarily a bad thing. The article could have made its only real point by simply saying that CAHSR, if understaffed, runs the risk of overpaying consultants.

    joe Reply:

    If well run, A org would do over pay for consultants, relative to what they would pay for in-house skill, which is why when the need is persistent, the org would staff up internally.

  2. D. P. Lubic
    Jul 10th, 2011 at 21:36
    #2

    So much of this reminds me of this song, as recorded here by the late John Denver:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t3cQz1cwsks

    If your taste runs strong to folk music style, here is the same tune by the late Utah Phillips:

    Some comments by Phillips on his lifestyle–wow, I wonder what some people would think of him and his views:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gv4DJmcFTqE&feature=related

    D. P. Lubic Reply:

    Bah, messed up the link–here’s Phillips version of what might be the explanation of some of the problems we have.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5YoLjYD8QE

  3. Alon Levy
    Jul 10th, 2011 at 21:43
    #3

    The problem is not just that the cost of building the equivalent road capacity is inflated, due to the same contracting problems as for HSR. It’s that even not building the capacity has inflated cost, because the US is politically incapable of tolling roads.

  4. adirondacker12800
    Jul 10th, 2011 at 22:01
    #4

    …where on Earth would it find them?
    The same place the consultants find them?

    swing hanger Reply:

    They are all outside the U.S. likely. Have to have inducements like six figure salaries and a McMansion to lure them across the pond.

  5. JJJ
    Jul 10th, 2011 at 22:29
    #5

    If your project is unplanned, it is a boondoggle disaster.
    If your project IS planned, it is an expensive boondoggle.

    If you have a large government staff working on the project, then it is a typical bloated government boondoggle, the private sector would do it better.
    If the government hires the private sector (consultants) to run the project, then it is a typical bloated government project with corruption and waste.

    If you use cheap labor to build the project, then you are promoting (illegal) immigration and are unamerican.
    If you use american (union) labor, then there is waste because unions are crooks.

    It’s impossible to win.

    political_incorrectness Reply:

    You could say that again

    joe Reply:

    The Pentagon wants the project – Instant Mega Bucks.

    The highway system was build for “Defensive Purposes” and was argued for in event of a ground invasion by a foreign power, the U.S. Army would need good highways to be able to transport troops across the country efficiently.

    HSR => Homeland Security Rail.

    Check Please.

    jimsf Reply:

    Then lets get the defense department to take over the project

  6. D. P. Lubic
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 00:28
    #6

    Off topic, but someone at Motor Trend has a low opinion of those self-driving cars that are supposed to make trains totally obsolete:

    http://www.motortrend.com/features/editorial/1108_technologue_crystal_brawl/index.html

    swing hanger Reply:

    Yeah, when even the railroads can’t agree to install positive train control on their lines, you can’t expect this idea to work. By the way, how is that PRT scheme going on at Heathrow?
    =gadgetbahn fail

    JJJ Reply:

    The Heathrow PRT scheme seems to be doing well enough. Its open to the public now. gadgetbahn fail indeed.

    D. P. Lubic Reply:

    I don’t know about the possible success of self-driving cars, but I do know the main problem with the railroad business is that conventional cab-signalling/automatic train stop was considered quite expensive in the day. This is the main reason it was never more widely adopted outside of the Pennsylvania system (and was essentially abandoned outside the NEC and a couple of connecting extensions after the speed ruling in the 1940s and the permission to abandon the test sections each road had by mandate in the late 1960s). This new PTS system is also considered expensive, and from what I’ve read about it, may not be totally debugged.

    It might have been better if this had been a publicly funded setup (special tax credit?), considering the government is requiring this, but we know what the story is on that.

    Miles Bader Reply:

    Even automatically-controlled SOVs seem an absurd idea in a crowded urban area. Safe or not, they take way too much space.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    In 2050, they’ll make good taxis.

    Miles Bader Reply:

    Of course, add “as the primary mode of transportation” to my post.
    Robo-taxis sound great tho…

  7. Spokker
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 07:09
    #7

    “What does California have to show for it?”

    To be fair, bond measure votes were canceled twice by then governor Schwarzenegger. Had they happened sooner, we might be furhter along in the process by now.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Governor who? Jerry Brown hasn’t been in charge for the last thirty years?!!!! Wait…we had a “Republican” governor who….oh my God…appointed people to the Authority’s Board?!!?! Wait, what’s this? and that Republican was …. Pete “Not in My House” Wilson?!?!?

    In ally seriousness, it’s hard to know if Prop 1A would have passed in 2004, but certainly it would have passed in 2006 and had Schwarzenegger not gotten rolled in the 2005 special election, he would have been much more supportive. I mean, the GOP has something to gain in that HSR will redefine CEQA in some ways, and you can imagine how much any Republican in California is all over that idea.

    Still, the question is…if Obama had been talking about HSR before being elected, and used it more centrally in the stimulus…would it have paid bigger dividends? I think he’s slowly realizing that the stimulus was a policy victory but a political mistake. He looks like a loser for doing the right thing. Hopefully between now and January ’13 Barack learns to brand his initiatives better.

    morris brown Reply:

    Had the bond measure been put on the ballot sooner, it would not have passed; why do you think it got delayed?

    Peter Reply:

    Because Schwarzenegger didn’t want it to compete with other measures on the ballot?

    Eric M Reply:

    Correct.

    Here are the propositions of 2006

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Not other measures….other people…namely himself.

    After he got thrashed in 2005, the last thing he wanted to do was put something on the ballot that Angelides could seize on and actually give him a fight.

    Spokker Reply:

    Did they delay it so it could be put on the ballot when the economy was worse? Good strategy.

    Arthur Dent Reply:

    But did they know what would happen to the economy back in 2006? Peter’s got this one right. 2006 was a big year for transportation bonds.

    Spokker Reply:

    I was being sarcastic.

  8. Spokker
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 07:15
    #8

    Another thing to consider is that that while criticisms about the project have been made, there has been very little progress made in any efforts to cancel the project or repeal the bond measure. The peer review group disagreed with plans to suspend planning efforts.

    You are hearing many criticisms from people who actually supported Prop 1A, as they support passenger rail in general. They believe that the problems can be fixed legislatively and life will go on, hopefully with a better project.

  9. Peter
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 18:13
    #9

    Riverside, Ca. Lawmaker Wants SoCal to Secede

    I’m not so sure I’d be unhappy to have them go. Why not take the other red counties with them, too?

    jimsf Reply:

    Its not norcal against socal. Its cali against the US. that should be the real battle. We must remain united as the most populous, wealthiest state. The state taken as a whole represents an unmatchable abundance of resources.

  10. jimsf
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 19:15
    #10

    So anyway is this thing still starting in the valley next year or what? when and where does the dirt turn first? I need to mark my calendar. ( again according to background media mutterings that I catch here and there, the whole project is dead or dying.)

  11. datacruncher
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 19:22
    #11

    Materials for Thursday’s Board Meeting are now posted.
    http://www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/2011_July.aspx

  12. Ben
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 20:08
    #12

    The Ayn Rand-disciples in the House of Representatives are totally out of control. If you live in CA’s 36th Congressional district (Santa Monica, South Bay) be sure to vote for Janice Hahn tomorrow so we can send at least one more person who will fight for transit and passenger rail.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/transportation-report/railroads/170741-house-to-debate-eliminating-remaining-stimulus-money-for-rail

    This should absolutely be an issue that Team Blue uses to hammer the RepuB(P)licans with: the Repu(B)Plicans want gut funding for transit and rail (even bicycle infrastructure– the most cost-effective transportation investment we can make) when gas is $4 per gallon.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    “There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old’s life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs. “

    Miles Bader Reply:

    … and then there’s Atlas Shrugged 2: One Hour Later

    Ben Reply:

    Rep. Mica is also making the case for #1 jackass in Congress.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/transportation-report/highways-bridges-and-roads/170681-obama-pushes-for-infrastructure-bank-proposal-after-debt-deal

    “House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman Rep. John Mica (R-Fla.) has said the House version of the bill will eschew a federal infrastructure bank in lieu of encouraging states to create their own.”

    This would be believable if two dozen states didn’t already have infrastructure banks going back nearly 15 years. Rep. Mica could have just said that they don’t care about creating jobs and have no interest in putting people back to work.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    It’s a little bit more nuanced than that….

    http://knowledgecenter.csg.org/drupal/content/state-infrastructure-banks

    While 32 states have used a state infrastructure bank, more than 87 percent of all loans from such banks made through 2008 were concentrated in just five states and nearly 95 percent of activity in just eight states. The states with the most state infrastructure bank activity through 2008 were South Carolina, Arizona, Florida, Texas and Ohio.

    In particular, this report mentions the following about Florida’s infrastructure bank:

    The bank can provide loans and other assistance to public or private entities carrying out or proposing projects eligible for assistance under federal and state law. In order to be eligible, the projects must be on the state highway system, provide increased mobility on the state’s transportation system or provide intermodal connectivity with airports, seaports, rail facilities and other transportation terminals. They must be consistent with local Metropolitan Planning Organizations and local government comprehensive plans. The state-funded account also can lend capital costs or provide credit enhancements for emergency loans for damages incurred on public-use commercial deepwater seaports, public-use airports, and other public-use transit and intermodal facilities that are within an area that is part of an official state emergency declaration.

    However, this report also hints that Mica realizes that Florida’s infrastructure bank is a good way to cultivate political patronage:

    Other key features of the bank include:
    It sets its own interest rates on a project-by-project basis, including rates below market levels based on consideration of project needs.
    It can tailor repayment structures on a need-oriented, project-by-project basis, including payment deferment. Borrowers can avoid payments for up to five years until their project revenue streams stabilize.14
    “The majority of our (state infrastructure bank) projects advance transportation benefits by at least one year, but generally by several years,” Project Manager Jennifer Weeks said in an email interview. “In some instances, (state infrastructure bank) loans have allowed projects to be constructed that may not have been built otherwise.”

    Loans have been used to purchase buses and trolleys, construct intermodal facilities, add capacity on the state highway system, relieve congestion on state and federal highways, build a new airport, and build container terminals at a local seaport.

    Weeks said rather than using the infrastructure bank to provide 100 percent of the funding for a project, the state prefers to use it to provide gap or bridge funding to get a project up to 100 percent funding.

    “There are cases where a transportation benefit may not be realized without the assistance of (state infrastructure bank) funds or the (bank) has been a financial tool that improved the financial affordability of other debt financing for the project,” Weeks said.
    Florida’s model of the state infrastructure bank has been a success other states have sought to duplicate, Weeks said.

  13. Gianny
    Jul 11th, 2011 at 20:46
    #13

    Great Article about highways and rail on the LATIMES and Carmageddon. They finally had someone tell it like it is.

    http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/news/la-et-carmageddon-20110712,0,5479801.story

Comments are closed.