Carmageddon Shows LA Doesn’t Have To Depend on Freeways

Jul 17th, 2011 | Posted by

The closure of the 405 freeway through the Sepulveda Pass ended early today, but its impact on Southern California may only just be starting. The predicted traffic nightmare that spawned the term “carmageddon” did not materialize, as people adjusted and found ways to live and get around without relying on the freeway. This should come as no surprise to anyone who remembers the 1984 Olympics and the 1994 Northridge earthquake, where similar disruptions to freeways did not produce a predicted traffic disaster.

The fact is that California’s dependence on freeways is overstated. There are other ways of getting around the region, as many discovered the benefits of trains – apparently the Pacific Surfliners were standing room only on Saturday – and other methods of travel. There was the flight versus bike challenge, where a group of people riding bicycles got from North Hollywood to Long Beach beat people flying JetBlue from Burbank to Long Beach Airport by well over an hour – and beat someone taking public transit (Red Line to Blue Line) by about 15 minutes.

Many more Angelenos realized they could live just fine without driving everywhere. “Carmageddon” was avoided because many people simply took fewer vehicle trips. That’s not a bad thing either. In a metropolis of nearly 15 million people, it makes sense for most of the necessities of life to be locally available, with restaurants and coffee shops and retail and groceries being accessible by foot or by bicycle. It’s just a better way to live – no wonder people are saying they wish it were like this all the time. Southern Californians learned this weekend that they can live just fine without being solely dependent on the car.

Of course, the 405 closure came on a summer weekend, and avoided a rush hour commute. One of the main problems with Southern California’s urban geography is the distance between many residents’ homes and jobs. On the other hand, nobody actually likes having a long commute. I have yet to meet the person who enjoys sitting in traffic on the 91 at 5:30 AM or who likes that it sometimes takes two hours to drive from downtown LA to Orange County on a weekday afternoon.

But Southern Californians usually don’t have much choice because of the mismatch between workplace and home. That mismatch is the product of deliberate policy choices. In the decades after World War II, SoCal was designed as a series of bedroom communities, with work and home purposely not in the same area. My hometown of Tustin, located smack in the middle of Orange County, has a sign at many entrances to the city that reads “work where you must but live and shop in Tustin.” It’s a classic example of 1950s-era thinking, that livable communities are not ones where jobs are located but instead are oriented around residence and retail. Following this logic, workplaces were spread out across the region and housing often located nowhere near one’s workplace. Freeways and wide arterials were intended to handle this far-flung situation, enabling sprawl and commutes.

60 years later, hardly anyone seems happy with this arrangement. Commuting takes a huge toll on marriages and happiness. Home values near the urban centers are high and have held their value far better than the furthest suburbs, where home values fell the furthest. That’s no coincidence. As gas prices soar and the toll of the commute wears on people’s lives, more and more Southern Californians realize that living near your job leads to a much better quality of life. Policies that promote density and provide the infrastructure to support it can help more people live near their jobs, which would reduce dependence on freeways to a significant degree.

That being said, there is still value in having access to a region-wide job market. If you live in Riverside, it’s good to be able to have the option of finding work in Orange County or LA, and vice versa. Improved rail transportation – including, yes, high speed rail – can help meet those demands, allowing people to participate in a region-wide economy. HSR adds to that economic activity, bringing places like Fresno and Bakersfield into the SoCal economic orbit. And if someone still finds value in commuting from, say, Riverside to downtown LA, rail makes that commute much better, allowing folks to stay connected to their family and friends rather than sitting behind a wheel on the 60 cursing their fate.

Rail could also have helped provide an alternative to the Sepulveda Pass during the 405 closure. The Cahuenga Pass has a rail option, with the Metro Red Line running beneath it from North Hollywood to Hollywood proper via Universal City. With the Orange Line BRT connection, it helps give people an alternative to the 101, and played a key role in helping move people from the Valley to downtown LA during this weekend’s closure.

Providing a similar rail route under the Sepulveda Pass seems a pretty high priority. The folks at The Transit Coalition have come up with a plan to do just that, using a tunnel (as was built for the Red Line) to connect Sherman Oaks to Westwood as part of a larger 405 rail corridor. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa included the Sepulveda Pass corridor as part of his visionary 30/10 initiative, although the discussion is early and all modal options are still on the table.

At least three times in the last 30 years – 1984 Olympics, 1994 Northridge quake, and now the 2011 closure of the 405 – have shown Southern Californians that life without the freeway is not only possible, it can be wonderful. Let’s hope that this time the lesson sticks, and the region – which has already been moving away from dependence on the automobile – can seize the moment to develop a fuller range of transportation options. Some folks will still drive, and there’s nothing wrong with that. I love to drive, and I acquired that love on the streets and freeways of Southern California. But there are a lot of other things I love as well in the region, and each time I’m down there I find that trains in particular help me enjoy them more completely than driving ever did. Judging by the public reaction to “carmageddon,” I’m not alone.

Southern California has the plan to build a better system with the 30/10 initiative, with high speed rail, and with growing awareness of the economic and social value of density. 2011 ought to be a tipping point that sees the coalescence of public support behind those efforts to build a better Southern California, instead of maintaining the completely and utterly failed fantasy that freeways are the best way to get around a region.

  1. swing hanger
    Jul 17th, 2011 at 23:35
    #1

    Southern California’s far flung suburbs actually predate the freeways and mass motorization- it was Henry Huntington’s Pacific Electric that facilitated the development of such communities, in fact the city of Huntington Beach in OC is named after him. Unfortunately, what could have been an outstanding, world class urban transport network today was scrapped by 1963 in the face of motorization and powerful interests in the auto/oil/rubber industries. It was the Japanese who would take Huntington’s model of private enterprise railway transport into the current century, with numerous (profitable) private railways that started out as streetcar interurbans:
    http://www.calrailnews.com/crn/0802/0802_45.pdf

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Well yes…and no…..

    Rail lines created sprawl because of the fact that since the 1850s they needed intermittent coal stops and had eminent domain around their tracks. Those earliest cities like Monrovia, or Whittier, or Compton just blend into the background now.

    But without the automobile, sprawl could have never reached the heights that it did now. You never have the Lakewood Plan. Still, sprawl has always been exacerbated by racial tensions and crumbling schools in urban areas.

    It’s going to take more than just 30/10 to “fix” L.A. yet at least the mayor and voters (presumably) are on the same page?

    Matthew B. Reply:

    Well, voters yes, they supported Measure R by a 2/3 majority in 2008, even though the recession was already in full swing. Regions that previously were skeptical about rail (e.g. the San Gabriel Valley) are now fighting to get their project built first, with the usual NIMBY responses from vocal minorities.

    rafael Reply:

    The *electrified* rail lines that once served the LA basin were built and operated as loss leaders by real estate tycoons like Huntingdon. Once they had built up the areas within walking distance of the stations, they allowed the commuter rail services to slowly wither on the vine.

    http://www.cahsrblog.com/2008/11/california-rapid-rail-dreamin/

  2. Risenmessiah
    Jul 17th, 2011 at 23:37
    #2

    Can I get a reply to my email, Robbie?

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    Calling me “Robbie” is an excellent way to never get a reply.

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    On a more serious note, I don’t think I ever got one from you, or if I did, I am having trouble finding it. Resend and put your username, “Risenmessiah,” in the subject line so I know it when I see it.

    Justin H Reply:

    Robert, you have the patience of a saint. Nice post by the way.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    No worries, I used my real name…but I’ll resend it this evening as you requested. And don’t worry…I won’t call you Robbie again…but it did get a response out of you…

  3. Ezra
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 04:16
    #3

    I’d love to see a subway line going through the Sepulveda pass. Unfortunately I don’t expect it to get finished anytime soon. But at least the subway extension to Santa Monica might be completed in my life time…

    Matthew B. Reply:

    I think the Sepulveda pass line will be built before the purple line ever gets extended beyond Westwood. Sepulveda is a Measure R project, while the purple line beyond the VA is unfunded.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    Sepulveda Pass is a waste of money.

    Spokker Reply:

    The Sepulveda Pass was a gift. We only chose what to name it.

    Matthew B. Reply:

    I think it makes a lot of sense to put transit at major choke points. The Sepulveda pass is a major choke point that is one of the most used in the entire country. If any place can have the effect of convincing large numbers of people to leave their cars at home, it’s there.

    There’s a nice Human Transit post discussing the concept of choke points in the context of Seattle:
    http://www.humantransit.org/2010/01/a-carbonneutral-seattle.html

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    I’ll elaborate. The problem with building a project along the Sepulveda Pass is that it just reconfigures traffic at the end points. For example, if it went from the Purple Line to Orange Line…then a whole lotta commuters would choke those end points, but the highway itself would be better able to handle traffic. Eventually, the highway would fill up again, and the ridership on the line would be not that great.

    What “needs” to happen is a Subway project that move people fast enough from Union Station (and Metrolink) that commuters will opt to use that route instead of drive.

  4. morris brown
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 09:54
    #4

    NY Times:

    In State’s High-Speed Rail Plan, Ambitions Collide With Financial Realities

    http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2011/07/18/18climatewire-in-states-high-speed-rail-plan-ambitions-col-65352.html

    synonymouse Reply:

    The in-bred, incestuous, inane, incompetent transport bureaucracy, abetted by nefarious influence peddlers, is ultimately responsible for the CHSRA’s hopelessly dumbed-down plan. Any moron from the Division of Highways can come up with Stilt-A-Rail.

    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/07/18/BASK1KB6F5.DTL

    Dullards seeking sinecures.

    Remember the old joke about 50,000 lawyers at the bottom of the ocean? Add these guys.

  5. morris brown
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 10:14
    #5

    Want to read how the Authority is spending funds. See (Sac Bee)

    Read the Ogilvy High-Speed Rail invoices

    http://blogs.sacbee.com/capitolalertlatest/2011/07/read-the-ogilvy-high-speed-rai.html

    Peter Reply:

    There’s a reason why the Authority was about to sack Ogilvy, just before they resigned in shame. Not sure what your point is.

    flowmotion Reply:

    The lead on that story is quite ridiculous. Can anyone have a discussion about something and send out a policy email in less than 15 minutes? In my line of work, if I’m interrupted about some issue, it’s a 30 min minimum and that’s cheap.

    Just clicking on a couple of these invoices shows the real issues. Some VP was loading time on this while the worker bees were spending a couple hours here and there. Is it any wonder that the PR was lousy when all the billing went into “overhead”?

  6. morris brown
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 10:20
    #6

    More on Ogilvy:

    (Sac Bee:)

    End of the line for firm

    http://www.sacbee.com/2011/07/17/3774595/end-of-the-line-for-firm.html#mi_rss=Transportation

    from the article…


    According to company invoices, Ogilvy’s work included routine meetings and outreach, but also the need to “review blog posts and manage research on angry blogger.” Its work included a social media strategy and people who “drafted twitter posts,” “planned twitter posting schedule” and “monitored twitter conversation and looked for retweets,” Ogilvy wrote.

    Peter Reply:

    Yes, we know. Ogilvy has always sucked.

    Arthur Dent Reply:

    The invoices are only a partial picture of what’s going on. Invoices don’t explain who requested the work. Did the HSRA direct them, or did Ogilvy dream up their TO DO list in a vacuum? How long have they been doing these activities? Jeff Barker got reprimanded a while back for not going through the invoices more carefully.

    And where’s TY LIN in all this? Aren’t they the ones who are supposed to oversee all the other contractors? What do they do with all the money they collect?

    joe Reply:

    ” …and what about Naomi? For the answer to these and other questions…,”

    Arthur’s post is brought to you by the Electric Company.

    Arthur Dent Reply:

    Turns out the answer to one of the questions is that Ogilvy was not going rogue without supervision. According to their invoices, they billed for daily meetings with Jeff Barker and Rachel Wall. Plenty of blame to go around. Ogilvy doesn’t suck in a vacuum.

    This update is brought to you by The Number 67.

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    And you are excited about this because?

    Now they might get to hire a real PR firm that will help their cause? Maybe they will hire the geniuses behind this ad:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuMlFERgNxw

  7. Alan Kandel
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 10:37
    #7

    Robert, an interesting point you raised is this: “That being said, there is still value in having access to a region-wide job market. If you live in Riverside, it’s good to be able to have the option of finding work in Orange County or LA, and vice versa. Improved rail transportation – including, yes, high speed rail – can help meet those demands, allowing people to participate in a region-wide economy. HSR adds to that economic activity, bringing places like Fresno and Bakersfield into the SoCal economic orbit. And if someone still finds value in commuting from, say, Riverside to downtown LA, rail makes that commute much better, allowing folks to stay connected to their family and friends rather than sitting behind a wheel on the 60 cursing their fate.”

    This opens up the possibility that people in say Fresno, for example, will work in southern (and northern) California and commute via HSR to get to and from work. The reverse may also become true whereby some folks in the south (and north) state may want to relocate to the central part of the state to live but keep existing south (and north) state-located jobs. However, in contrast to the southland (and Bay Area) models, many passengers beginning or ending their trips in Fresno will, in all likelihood (unless there is a drastic shift in thinking and drastic change occurs), be arriving/departing on buses stopped at the city’s downtown HSR station. Traveling from say L.A., for example, to Fresno via a world-class high-speed train only to have to board a third-world bus won’t exactly do much to encourage HST ridership in my opinion. Bottom line: As it applies to the Central Valley, it would be wise for this area to get with – and get on board – the rail-to-rail program.

    As for the entire post above, it’s spot on!

  8. Alan Kandel
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 12:26
    #8

    Robert, an interesting point you raised is this: “That being said, there is still value in having access to a region-wide job market. If you live in Riverside, it’s good to be able to have the option of finding work in Orange County or LA, and vice versa. Improved rail transportation – including, yes, high speed rail – can help meet those demands, allowing people to participate in a region-wide economy. HSR adds to that economic activity, bringing places like Fresno and Bakersfield into the SoCal economic orbit. And if someone still finds value in commuting from, say, Riverside to downtown LA, rail makes that commute much better, allowing folks to stay connected to their family and friends rather than sitting behind a wheel on the 60 cursing their fate.”

    This opens up the possibility that people in, say, Fresno, will work in southern (and northern) California and commute via HSR to get to and from work. The reverse may also become true whereby some folks in the south (and north) state may want to relocate to the central part of the state to live but keep existing south (and north) state-located jobs. However, in contrast to the southland (and Bay Area) models, many passengers beginning or ending their trips in Fresno will, in all likelihood (unless there is a dramatic shift in thinking and drastic change occurs), be arriving/departing on buses stopped at the city’s downtown HSR station. Traveling from, say, L.A., to Fresno via a world-class high-speed train only to have to board a bus won’t exactly do much to encourage HST ridership in my opinion. Bottom line: As it applies to the Central Valley, it would be wise for this area to get with – and get on board – the rail-to-rail program.

    As for the entire post above, it’s spot on!

  9. Roger Christensen
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 13:10
    #9

    Besides the Olympics and the Northridge quake, another moment in which you could sense tumbleweeds on the 405 was the Rodney King riots in 1992 in which the Mayor imposed a curfew.
    Transit was also shut down.

  10. James
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 17:20
    #10

    “Many more Angelenos realized they could live just fine without driving everywhere. “Carmageddon” was avoided because many people simply took fewer vehicle trips. ”

    This comment may be a bit exaggerated. I suspect some of the freeway avoidance was at the expense of deferring necessary trips not easily replaced by alternate methods of transportation.

    Similarly the feared “Carmageddon” was extrapolated from not deferring all of the usual car trips of an average weekend. I can choose not to go to the beach or I can choose to shop locally but I may not be able to simply choose not to cross the hill to help my elderly mother this weekend.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    This is pretty much what I said over at my place: in the short term, people can respond to a planned, well-advertised road closure by not taking non-essential trips. But likewise, in the long term, people change their behavior in other ways – arranging matters so that they need fewer trips, or taking public transit.

  11. Nadia
    Jul 18th, 2011 at 19:09
    #11

    Pringle quits:

    http://blogs.sacbee.com/capitolalertlatest/2011/07/pringle-quits-high-speed-rail.html

    morris brown Reply:

    WOW!

    And this just after these remarks at the beginning of last Thursday board meeting.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4s_58S3fkdA

    The farmers in the Central valley are quite upset about what what said here — talking about how wonderful the project would be for their (Umberg’s, vanArk’s and Pringle’s grand kids) while voting to evict families whole had lived and worked their land for many generations.

    Spokker Reply:

    Whether you’ve lived there for 60 years or 60 months or 60 days, eminent domain works similarly in all three cases.

    joe Reply:

    I don’t accept that farmers oppose HSR and the 100 ft ROW is requires. That’s like saying Menlo Park opposes HSR when the county it sits in voted 60-40 for HSR Prop 1a.

    Appealing to the privilege of 4th generation birth rights in California of all states isn’t the right argument and with a expected population pushing 50 M in the mid-next decade, it’s ludicrous.

    The next think you know some guy named Bernal will want your to give him back his land grant ranch.

    YesonHSR Reply:

    [moderated]

    Elizabeth Reply:

    The blame game has begun.

    joe Reply:

    I missed it. Who did he blame and what did blame?
    Grasping at straws.
    This resignation lets Brown appoint someone who shares his views on HSR – just as Pringle said it would.

    Brian Stanke Reply:

    Thanks Elizabeth,

    Through your own words and actions you have shown that CARRD’s “incompatible offices” clock and associated noise was never a serious public interest question, but rather a bad-faith scandal-of-the-week meant only to make the authority look bad.

    Now that it is apparent that you never cared about “incompatible offices,” it makes one wonder what other scandal-of-the-week campaigns has CARRD engaged in, or will engage in, where neither the policy or the people matter, only making the Authority look bad.

    Spokker Reply:

    [moderated]

    YesonHSR Reply:

    Now..Now Spokker..bombs away on those white bread lame SF caltrain towns.. that wish they were SF/GIANTS ..instead of NIMBYS

    Peter Reply:

    Agreed. I like how they continued to keep the “clock” up months after the issue had been resolved, with the number of days continuing to increase.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    Let me repeat again. We are a miniscule group of volunteers. As I recall, it may have even been at your request that I turned it off. I will take this opportunity to note that our current clock tracks the number of days since we asked for the cost estimates used for the alternatives analysis to be releaesd. This one is still ticking.

    I will also note that we have made numerous public records request for this data, which the Authority is not complying with, in violation of state law.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    How do you expect people to take your claim that you want “HSR done right” if you can’t do you website “right”?

    Nadia Reply:

    Our website is correct. It was corrected 158 days ago (as the current counter shows) when we changed the counter to reflect how long we’ve been asking for updated cost estimates.

    Were we as expedient as we should have been in updating the webpage? No.

    Do we have our reasons? Yes – as we’ve explained, we are a small group of unpaid volunteers who work full time and are raising small children. Blah, Blah. It’s irrelevant. You may choose to listen or not to listen to what we say. Your choice. Our website may not live up to your expectations. Sorry.

    Note, however, that those who are concerned with this project and interested in developing HSR in California are able to see past our amateur website and focus on the real issues we raise through our work.

    For example, our “new” counter shows how long it has been since we asked for updated cost estimates and the Peer Review Committee recently wrote:
    “The fact remains that the actual cost of the project is still unknown with any degree of confidence but the cost is “trending upward” according to the Authority: an update is urgently needed.”

    Attacking our website or us personally is a distraction from the actual issues.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    I have no idea if you website is correct or not. I stopped looking at a long long time ago.
    If you are all too too busy with real life to make minor changes to your website how much time are you going to be able to devote to analyzing the information you get from the Authority when you get it?

    Nadia Reply:

    Reading is easy, so we can do that anywhere: at swim practice, in line at the grocery store, etc.

    Fixing websites is something not all of us know how to do. If we collected any money at all for what we do, I’m sure that would be the first place we would spend it.

    Either way, we know that whatever we put on our site is really for the “die hard” HSR followers who read a myriad of sites, including this one. That doesn’t mean we don’t strive to be accurate or timely – but we recognize the limits of volunteerism.

    The general public goes to the Authority’s website – which is why more than a year ago we spent two hours with their web development team giving suggestions on how to improve it. So far, they haven’t listened much – which is a shame, b/c they could use the help.

    Not sure if you read the Ogilvy invoices, but if they spent more money on basic stuff like generating a “thank you for your email” auto-response when you email the general website instead of spending time responding on blogs – they would be in less of a pickle – at least from an outreach standpoint.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    If you are all volunteers why would it cost any money to fix the website?
    If the only people who read your website are diehards, why bother? They have other, more accurate sources to read.
    If the general public isn’t reading your website, again, why bother?
    If you don’t have web development skills maintain the site or even the skills to navigate your ISP’s web interface, why did you waste two hours of the Authority’s web development team’s time?
    What do the Ogilvy invoices have to do with the accuracy of your website?

    Peter Reply:

    What adirondacker12800 said.

    Also, I don’t care if you’re all volunteers or not. If you have false or misleading information on your website, as was the case with the “clock”, it’s fair game to call you out on it, volunteer or not. Robert is a volunteer, too, with a busy life and career outside of this blog, but that doesn’t mean he’s not responsible for its content.

    You can’t hide behind that, especially not when you WERE updating information on your site, while simultaneously pleading “volunteer”.

    Nathanael Reply:

    What everyone else said. Scummy behavior. If you care and are honest, you keep your webstie accurate, or you *take the website down*. If you leave the website inaccurate, the assumption is either *you don’t care* or *you aren’t honest*.

    The Authority’s website is at least *accurate*, if poorly organized. You, on the other hand, doesn’t seem to know what you’re doing. Hell, I remember reading the sources for the cost estimates used in the Alternatives Analyses. (They’re really quite simplistic estimates, based on rough “so-and-so-much per mile of tunnel” sort of numbers, but you can’t do any better until you start surveying the ground.)

    Elizabeth Reply:

    What?

    Alon Levy Reply:

    In other words, all of the three politicians who forced CAHSR to accept questionable alignment, phasing, and infrastructure decisions are now out.

    synonymouse Reply:

    Problem is those same special interests are still out there and still machinating to have their way.

    Whether it be PB, Palmdale or the Chandlers the motive is still the same – money and acquiring more of it.

    How naive of me to think the CHSRA would be less corrupt. I guess because it was a rail project. But after BART I should have known better.

    YesonHSR Reply:

    [moderated]

    Risenmessiah Reply:

    I think synonymouse is the reincarnation of Nedd Ludd!

Comments are closed.