Lots of Peninsula News

Sep 15th, 2010 | Posted by

Quite a lot to talk about from the last day or so, focused on the San Francisco to San José segment:

• Caltrain’s “phased” plan: The biggest news is Caltrain’s call for an “initial operating segment” to be constructed on the SJ-SF rail corridor:

CalTrain-9-13-2010

What this means isn’t exactly clear, and the devil is in the details, which we at Californians For High Speed Rail are examining as we speak. Still, there are a few questions that do immediately come to mind:

1. Is this legal? Prop 1A provides pretty strict rules about what has to be constructed with state HSR bond money. Does this “initial operating segment” count? Sources I’ve talked to indicate that it might not be.

2. What does San Francisco think? And would this screw the Transbay Terminal? Last month a very high profile groundbreaking was held at the Transbay Terminal with such dignitaries as Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senator Barbara Boxer. They billed it as the “first high speed rail station” not just in California, but in the country. One would hope that Caltrain’s proposal has been vetted by those two important federal officials, as well as the whole of SF’s government (and not just SF’s members on the Peninsula Corridor Joint Powers Board).

3. Will this make any difference to Palo Alto and other city councils that have been criticizing the project? Caltrain seems to be making a bid to earn the support of city councils like Palo Alto and Menlo Park that have expressed skepticism about the HSR project. But it may not stop these councils from ignoring their constituents and turning against the project:

Klein, however, likened the rail authority to a bad business partner, and urged Caltrain to pull its support from the project. Klein, who has been one of the most vocal council members against the project, said Caltrain could be more effective than any city in bringing down the project because it controls the track right of way.

Councilwoman Nancy Shepherd, meanwhile, urged Caltrain to come up with a more clear statement on the phased-in approach to better protect the Peninsula.

Councilman Greg Scharff argued that if Caltrain has the final say on the right-of-way, it should bear some responsibility if certain track options are taken off the table.

4. What does this actually mean for the HSR project? Can this phasing approach be built without causing logistical, operational, or additional cost problems for future HSR service? CA4HSR wrote to Caltrain about these concerns back in June when the agency was looking to move forward with their 2004 EIR, and this proposal will be judged by similar standards.

• San José Backs Aerial Structure: While the Peninsula city councils fight against aerial structures, despite considerable evidence from other Bay Area neighborhoods like Rockridge and Albany that these structures do not destroy communities or hurt property values, San José has indicated it will back a proposed aerial structure to carry HSR tracks south from Diridon Station:

After a lengthy discussion, the San Jose City Council on Tuesday agreed with a staff recommendation to study an aerial track, not a tunnel, for future high-speed rail trains into downtown….

First, the California High-Speed Rail Authority must agree by Oct. 1 that the city has the right to approve or reject any design for an aerial alignment through the Diridon Station area. If the authority does not agree, the council will send a letter asking the authority for a full study of a tunnel instead.

Any agreement also would ensure that the city is given significant input on the design and noise impacts of building part of the high-speed rail corridor along Monterey Road from Pacheco Pass at grade.

It’s good to see San JosĂ© taking this productive, constructive, collaborative approach with the California High Speed Rail Authority – which suggests that Peninsula local officials’ claims that such approaches aren’t possible are just not true. Peninsula city councils that adopt an inflexible approach will find that collaboration is difficult – because of course, collaboration requires flexibility.

The Mercury News article linked above also included residents’ concerns about an aerial structure being an “eyesore.” Most people in the East Bay have gotten used to the similar structure built to carry traffic from Interstate 880 north to Interstate 80 through the MacArthur Maze, and this portion of San JosĂ© has a major stack interchange (I-280/CA-87), downtown skyscrapers, and is in the flight path of one of a busy passenger airport. I doubt very much that an aerial structure will make that much difference – and of course, focusing on those concerns misses the much more fundamental and important point that HSR will save San JosĂ© residents (and Californians) money and help produce a cleaner environment.

• Mountain View decides against an HSR station: Mountain View has been pretty supportive of the HSR project, but this week its city council decided that an HSR station didn’t fit their downtown plans:

A majority of City Council members oppose having a high-speed rail station in Mountain View, they said in a study session Monday night. Unless two of the four station opponents are unseated in the November election, it appears that high speed trains are not likely to stop in Mountain View’s downtown.

It’s always seemed that Redwood City or Palo Alto were the more likely locations for a mid-Peninsula station anyway. Mountain View would certainly benefit from a station – it would be a huge boost to local businesses and the economy, spurring job creation and significantly boosting property values. Sure, some of the neighbors complained about needing a parking permit for their streets, but really, that’s a tiny, tiny inconvenience that many Californians deal with just fine – especially if it were a tradeoff for a big boost in their home values.

Still, a Mountain View station never did seem all that vital to begin with. If they prefer not to have one, that means we can focus more on the question of whether it should go to Palo Alto or Redwood City.

  1. peninsula
    Sep 15th, 2010 at 21:00
    #1

    Way to go Robert – spin spin spin away – the key piece of news with regard to SJ is actually that they are demanding that CHSRA sign a binding enforcable contract giving SJ approval power over any ariel design and materials – as a condition for their support of ariel over tunnel. AND they’ve given deadline of Oct 1. So SJ has finally gotten wise, and thrown down the gauntlet. And as soon as SJ gets this agreement (which they will – or blow CHSRA out of the water), all other cities up and down the line can expect to receive same.

    WRT to Mt View, what’s interesting to note there is the quote from CHSRA spokesman that all the peninsula potential stations (PA, RC, or Mt View) are all OPTIONAL. And so the next two most obvious questions – lets see CHRSA ridership and resulting financial projections with NO peninsula station (because PA is entirely off the table, and RC is mounting steam against the crooked CHSRA plans) and secondly – if a mid peninsula station is OPTIONAL – then it seems to crack a giant hole in the absolute
    ‘given’ that HSR just MUST run through the middle of these Peninsula towns. If no stops – why run through the middles. It opens the very real possility that it be moved to 101 ariel from Millbrae to SJ.

    Also Robert – just because you keep saying something over and over – doesn’t make it true. You might WISH the constituents were still in support of HSR – but they quite simply are not. The CHSRA has made that quite impossible – every day becomes clearer that the people were fed a load of pure crap with Prop 1A, and they absolutely do not support HSR under any circumstance that CHSRA can dish up. Believe it or not, these local representatives have plenty of ways to hear their constituents feedback other than by logging in to your blantant PR shit spewing machine here.

    WRT to Caltrain – the message is clear. CHSRA’s power plays and bullying days are over here. The owners of that row (the people of the peninsula ) are taking their ball and going home. And frankly you’ve miss judged peninsula politics pretty severely throughout – but the bottom line is this – SF can go to hell. The peninsula is not led around by the nose by SF. Everyone and everything south of Candelstick park can pretty much care less what happens in SF. They can ‘bill’ their transbay terminal as an HSR station, as a circus tent, or as an ice skating rink. Its meaningless what kind of PR crap they want to push out. Transbay terminal is a decision to build an overblown bus terminal, stupid san franciscans made about their own city, and it has ZERO binding impact on anything south of SF. Deal with it. We’re not checking with SF on zero. Did sf check with the Peninsula before they decided to sink their eggs in TBT?

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    You can’t argue with facts – and the facts show the mid-Peninsula still supports high speed rail.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    Robert,

    Let’s go through this poll again.

    1) April not September
    2) That district is NOT equal to the Peninsulal. It is a very odd gerrymandered district that includes the Santa Cruz mountain area all the way down to San Jose.
    3) There is a BIG difference between “supporting high speed rail” and “supporting this particular project”. We had a massive neighborhood meeting and I personally called or talked to over 100 families to get them to the meeting, which served as an informal poll. There are a handful of people in favor of the project and the rest strongly against. At the same time, if you ask people “are you in favor of HSR in concept” they will generally say yes.

    You are not going to win friends and influence people by the argument that there is some huge silent majority. You are just going to lose credibility.

    You are going to win friends by doing things like pushing for compatible platform heights and making sure that everyone goes back to the drawing board and rethinks the assumptions that are taken as given.

    Peter Reply:

    http://www.assembly.ca.gov/committee/c7/asmfinal/AD21.HTM

    But it’s ALL of PAMPA, as well as ALL of Redwood City.

    The area in the Santa Cruz mountains is irrelevant in terms of population, so I’m not sure why you threw that in.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    PAMPA is 95k out of the total district of 413k. There are as many people in hinterlands of San Jose i in this district as there are in Palo Alto.

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    Your attempts to debunk this poll and the *fact* that a large majority of the PAMPA region still supports HSR are not supported by the evidence.

    Let us recall what was asked in this poll. It was not a generic “gee do you like high speed trains?” It was very specific:

    Then respondents were asked, “Does knowing that a portion of the high-speed train system will be built through the Peninsula make you more or less inclined to support building the high-speed rail system?”

    Twenty-six percent said it made them much more inclined, 25 percent said somewhat more inclined, 24 percent said it made no difference, 11 percent were somewhat less inclined, 10 percent were much less inclined and 5 percent had no opinion.

    Those are truly damning numbers, Elizabeth. They prove that the current positions of some PAMPA city council members are enormously out of step with their constituents. And it shows that people knew perfectly well they weren’t being asked about the concept, but about the specific plan before them.

    You say “April is not September.” Of course it isn’t. But by April 2010 the lines had been pretty clearly drawn. HSR criticism and NIMBYism had dominated local news for over a year. The battle was high-profile by that time. Sure, there may have been some ebbing of support, but I doubt it would have been very much – 76% of those surveyed (Dem and DTS voters) still backed it, just as 60% approved Prop 1A.

    As to the district, the bulk of the population is actually in the PAMPA area. My understanding of the poll is that only about 12% of respondents were from San JosĂ© – and the overwhelming majority of respondents were in Peninsula cities along the route, with a whopping 25% of respondents coming from Palo Alto itself.

    You’re good with numbers and usually good with evidence, Elizabeth. But there is no spinning this poll. It proves that support in PAMPA remains very high for HSR – and that city councilmembers who are opposing HSR are WAY out of step with their constituents by doing so. It’s just a fact.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    Robert, The sample size for the peninsula was 6 people or something.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    Robert,

    As far as the district goes, 95k/ 413k voters live in PAMPA. This is 23%.

    Peter Reply:

    But they polled disproportionately in Menlo Park, Redwood City, San Carlos, and Palo Alto.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    Seriously people.

    Go do a real poll. Go call some people. Go knock on some people’s doors. Show them copies of the project plans. Ask them if they are in favor.

    I called 100 people in a very neutral way to invite them to an informational community meeting.

    37 rapidly anti
    60 anti
    2 mildly for
    1 rabidly pro

    I am not suggesting this is a real poll. I am saying that it was enough to convince me that there is not a “silent majority” out there. Indeed, I was surprised how angry people that I never hear from were. And trying to work with people by convincing them that there is one will not get you very far.

    political_incorrectness Reply:

    Where were these people from in proximity to the rail corridor? People near the rail corridor are more likely to have a negative opinion to the project.

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    A real poll was done, Elizabeth. A scientifically valid poll by a reputable pollster. And it found results that completely contradict what your unscientific “poll” found.

    Further, the poll to end all polls was done on November 4, 2008. The results were clear and unambiguous, even in Palo Alto.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    And Cambridge Systematics — scientifically valid, professional, ethical, reputable! — would never ever ever dream of producing just the answer demanded by MTC’s limitlessly corrupt executive staff, either. Oh no.

    orulz Reply:

    I’ll trust that you did ask the question in a truly neutral way, but I am interested to know how you got your sample of 100 people. Did you open the phone book, pick out 100 random names in PAMPA, and call them? Or is this from a list of people who have signed on to the rolls of neighborhood advocacy groups or folks who have already expressed some active interest in reviewing and providing input for the HSR project? That is important.

    Peter Reply:

    “For those who are curious, 13 percent of the respondents lived in Redwood City, 8 percent lived in San Carlos, 7 percent lived in Menlo Park, 23 percent lived in Palo Alto and 12 percent lived in San Jose.”

    So they only polled 12 people? Is that seriously what you’re arguing?

    Eric M Reply:

    No poll will be right with her unless it is in the oppositions favor. Period.

    jimsf Reply:

    you probably spoke with a certain type of people who would of course be inclined to cling together and get all outraged about it. I know the type.

    Arthur Dent Reply:

    Robert writes, “those are damning numbers”. How are they damning? All they indicate is that a percent of the population don’t give a rat’s ass about others. That’s why they’re (hopefully) not elected officials. It sounds like you’re arguing that you want city council to be in lock step with these people and not give a rat’s ass either. That’s not what they’re elected to do. Aren’t you in public policy or something? It’s troublesome that this concept is lost on you.

    I’d like to see the complete data from the survey before jumping to conclusions. They’re showing what they’re comfortable exposing; what else can we learn that’s not being shared?

    Eric M Reply:

    “Also Robert – just because you keep saying something over and over – doesn’t make it true”

    Makes me laugh. The opposition keeps doing this and its okay, but when someone else repeats themselves that is not in the view of the opposition, “it’s wrong”. Pot calling the kettle back?!

    Eric M Reply:

    Oops, black not back

    jimsf Reply:

    pot to kettle… “Come back kettle come back!” ;-)

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    It is an undeniable fact, backed with evidence, that large majorities on the Peninsula, including in the PAMPA area, support this HSR project – but that their voice is being systematically ignored. It’s undemocratic.

    Eric M Reply:

    I completely agree

    jimsf Reply:

    we all know the type who are against this project.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Hispanics? Communists? Nattering nabobs of negativism? Blacks? The ACLU? East Coast intelligencia? International Jewry? Kenyans? Trial Lawyers? The Immoral Minority? Un-Real Americans? Shiftless cosmopolitans?

    Peter Reply:

    Arrogant armchair engineers?

    orulz Reply:

    I bet CHSRA would welcome a similar agreement from PAMPA. Heck, they’d probably let San Jose (or Palo Alto, if they were to draft a similar agreement) take the lead on designing the berm/viaduct option through town, even to the extent of letting them choose an architect, and the authority even footing the bills for the architect’s services. Short of demanding that every square inch of viaduct or retaining wall be plated with inch-thick gold, I can’t see how such an agreement isn’t a good thing for all parties, including the HSR project, since a binding agreement is generally binding both ways. It means that San Jose (or Palo Alto) pledges to come up with an elevated design that they will accept. If they can come up with one, then CHSRA is legally bound to build it or nothing else. If they can’t come up with an acceptable design, then they are in violation of their side of the agreement, and CHSRA gets to build whatever they want.

  2. HSRComingSoon
    Sep 15th, 2010 at 21:13
    #2

    The “phased approach” is nice, but let’s be realistic about what needs to happen. Foremost is the complete grade separating of the line, the updating of infrastructure, including everything for electrification and configuring of stations for Millbrae and PA to serve as mid-peninsula HSR stations while other stations can allow for trains to pass while others are stopped. PAMPA ought not to stop this process, but at least embrace that grade separations can improve traffic flows, eliminate the blowing of the train horn and cut down on trespassing that leads to accidents involving pedestrians (whether intentional or not). Electrification will do more to speed up service, eliminate noise and emissions while offering passengers a fast, efficient way to travel up and down the Peninsula. But ultimately, one must consider that if the infrastructure is not built at the beginning, then construction could potentially drag on for years, albeit at phased approach. In this case, wouldn’t it be better to get everything done sooner rather than drag it on for additional years to come at higher cost and at higher disruption to an active HSR/Caltrain main line?

    Drunk Engineer Reply:

    In other words, postpone (indefinitely) the construction of a useable project while wasting time fighting nimbys, doing endless studies, and wishing for an extra $10+ billion to magically materialize.

    HSR Coming Soon — what a perfect name for what you are proposing.

    jimsf Reply:

    dragging it out will increase costs. Even in a phased approach everything needs to be done up front with the exception of 2 tracks instead of 4 for some sections. You still need electrification, grade separations, signaling, etc. Then what, you have to go back and rip out and widen stations and grade separations? Its ridiculous.

    Missiondweller Reply:

    Right. And those same people would be criticizing the project for the waste of partially ripping up the project and the likely cost over runs that would result.

    Drunk Engineer may, in fact, be living up to his name.

  3. Adam
    Sep 15th, 2010 at 21:47
    #3

    If Schwarzenegger’s plan to have the 2020 world’s fair at Moffet happens, I have to image HSR would be a huge part of that. I think at least a temporary station in Mt View would be assured. Once the people get used to living next to a HSR station I think they might fight to keep it.

    dfb Reply:

    Moffett Field is two miles from downtown Mountain View and the proposed HSR station. There is no reason to think that Caltrain could not be used to get people to Mountain View from another HSR station, or SF or San Jose where they will likely stay.

    Joey Reply:

    Better yet, the system should be designed in a way that does not prevent HSR trains from stopping at any particular station (i.e. same platform height etc). That way, high-ridership special events can be accommodated without a needless transfer.

    jimsf Reply:

    that is a very good idea.

    Daniel Krause Reply:

    This is why the platform height battle is so critical. Let’s take Palo Alto. PA is likely to reject a station (even thought it would be a boon for the urban design of their downtown because it could help fix the crap connection between Univ. Ave and the Caltrain station), but with consistent platform heights, HSR could stop a few selected trains at a PA station to serve the City and Stanford. Still holding out a sliver of hope that PA will actually begin to see the potentially HUGE benefits of HSR for the city.

    jimsf Reply:

    EFF PA, put the station in Redwood city where more working class people live and let the Palo Altans sit by sipping on their caramel macchiatos with a little bitterness the bottom of the cup as the successful trains pass them by.

  4. peninsula
    Sep 15th, 2010 at 22:14
    #4

    moffet field is on 101. Exactly where HSR through the Peninsula belongs.

  5. dfb
    Sep 15th, 2010 at 22:43
    #5

    Mountain View’s City Council and residents really take issue with the station’s footprint and 3,000 parking spaces requirement. Few, if anyone, in the city want the station to encroach into downtown.

    “The Rail Authority says it needs 1,000 parking spaces at the station and 2,000 more within three miles for long-term parking.”

    “New buildings would take the place of the 1888 train depot [which is not actually that old] and bus turnout at the current station. A two-story, 67,000-square-foot main station building would take their place at the corner of Castro and Evelyn Avenue. A drawing presented Monday showed two four-story garages (800 parking spaces) extending from the station building to the end of the 1,410-foot platform, which is long enough to accommodate two high-speed trains attached end to end. ”

    You can read the Mountain View Voice article at: http://www.mv-voice.com/news/show_story.php?id=3345

    Nathanael Reply:

    I think we have to push back against the massive mega-garage proposals. There are other ways of getting people to and from train stations.

    political_incorrectness Reply:

    I agree, but there needs to be some cooperation to integrate frequent transit routes with denser developments. Would using a Corona station concept work for parking so that there isn’t a massive sprawl lot like for BART?

    jimsf Reply:

    Why do people need to drive and park? Does’t it make more sense to take a cab? I don’t get it.

    Joey Reply:

    Cabs are expensive. Especially if you live more than a few miles from the station.

    orulz Reply:

    Long term parking is more expensive. Assuming rates will be similar to parking rates at airports, Parking can make sense for trips of up to 2 or 3 days, but for anything else, a cab is usually cheaper

    jimsf Reply:

    I take the bus and a cab when Im in a hurry. The costs of buses and cabs per month is never more then what what car ownership would be for me. All the driving is so annoying. I went to Monterey with friends recently by car and my god driving is the most obnoxious uncomfortable way to go anywhere. Personally I can’t stand it. But I guess its a kind of addiction for people.

    Joey Reply:

    The attractiveness of buses diminishes quickly when you have a suitcase to contend with. Not that I haven’t done that before but just in general…

    jimsf Reply:

    True. i have just stopped doing any travel that takes more than a couple hours or a carry on bag. In fact mostly now Ill only go where virgin america goes. My hope is that with HSR I will be able to go wherever I want in the state, in comfort, and in most cases, be home by bedtime.

    Clem Reply:

    That’s an error. The rail depot dates to 2002, not 1888.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Eight years! Ancient history in go-go innovation-r-us Silicon Valley (capital, San JosĂ©, Tenth Most Importantest city in the Entire Galaxy.) One day we will look back at the Potemkin Ersatz Replica Depot Building at its magnificent site in Mountain View (which some crazy wild-eyed individuals went out of their way a decade ago to inform the Caltrain board and staff was clearly incompatible with future track amplification possibilities) and praise the brave historic resource preservation pioneers who conserved it for posterity. Neither Bill and Dave’s garage nor the infoseek.com HQ site can hold a candle to this structure, at once iconic and beloved and positively dripping with authentic historical goodness.

  6. rafael
    Sep 16th, 2010 at 01:56
    #6

    Would it be legal for CHSRA to upgrade the existing two-track Caltrain corridor rather than construct dedicated HSR tracks throughout the peninsula? According to my reading of AB3034(2008), yes absolutely:

    [2704.04.] (c) Capital costs payable or reimbursable from proceeds of bonds
    described in paragraph (1) of subdivision (b) include, with respect
    to the high-speed train system or any portion thereof, all activities
    necessary for acquisition of interests in real property and
    rights-of-way and improvement thereof; acquisition and construction
    of tracks, structures, power systems, and stations;

    Nothing here about quad tracking. The language is plenty broad enough to permit sharing the infrastructure, since “acquisition” doesn’t necessarily imply securing outright ownership. It’s enough to secure rights to use in perpetuity.

    A separate issue is if both the FRA and the CPUC will clear the regulatory roadblocks to track sharing. My guess is that as long as the entire corridor is fully grade separated and equipped with PTC signaling, these agencies will not go out of their way to prevent a creative solution. That said, cutting through the red tape will still take a major effort, especially if/when the GOP regains control of FRA’s purse strings. Archaic restrictions on e.g. platform heights to protect ye olde freight railroad practices could prove a real pain in the keister.

    IMHO, the most serious issues are operational:

    (a) can CHSRA secure sufficient HSR capacity into SF to justify the construction of the rest of the starter line between San Jose and Anaheim?

    Hint: define “sufficient”. There’s nothing in AB3034(2008) that says each and every HSR train must terminate in SF. The botched design of the Transbay Terminal Center’s rail infrastructure is anyhow a hard capacity bottleneck. If and when the peninsula corridor itself were to become a bottleneck – decades from today – there would always be the option of terminating a subset of trains in San Jose. Also, future voters may want a spur up to Oakland Coliseum to improve service for East Bay residents.

    The most severe constraint imposed by track sharing is on the timetable. Neither HSR nor Caltrain will have the luxury of running their respective services whenever it happens to be most convenient for them.

    (b) can CHSRA and Caltrain agree on a common platform height, common PTC implementation, common electrification parameters etc?

    Caltrain may have to accept changes to its plans, e.g. switching to longer, wider but single-level trains. This ought not to be a showstopper but stubborn pride and contractor greed could easily get in the way.

    (c) can CHSRA meet the 2h 40m line haul target for SF-LA if it must share track with Caltrain anywhere south of 4th & King in SF?

    AB3034(2008) does not require that this target be achievable at all times and on all days of the week. Indeed, it does not even require non-stop commercial service for this city pair. The time is an acceptance criterion, no more. That, however, does not make it trivial. Passing the test will mean constructing the tracks such that safe operation at up to 125mph is possible. Tight curves such as San Bruno and the Palo Alto chicane might have to be rectified and/or equipped with gauntlet tracks if heavy freight service is to be maintained with guaranteed time separation (i.e. at night).

    During Caltrain’s rush hour, the HSR operator(s) would probably have to accept constraints on top speed (e.g. 90 mph) and the number of stops their trains would have to make between SF and SJ (e.g. minimum 2). This would add 10-15 minutes to the SF-LA travel times during these peak periods. Sounds like a dealbreaker, but probably isn’t: only business customers will really care and many of them will actually experience shorter door-to-door trip times thanks to the better last mile connections afforded by the intermediate stops. Moreover, as long as wireless broadband internet access is available, transit time spent on board HSR trains won’t be wasted.

    (d) would heavy freight operations send HSR infrastructure maintenance costs on the SF peninsula through the roof?

    The X-2000 trains in Sweden operate at 125mph, on tracks shared with heavy freight trains. However, that rolling stock is not required to also operate at much higher speeds in any part of the network.

    Deutsche Bahn chose to construct a lot of slab track (“Feste Fahrbahn”) in recent years, believing this would permit medium and even heavy freight trains to run at night on tracks used for HSR during the day. Slab track is much stiffer than regular ballast track and therefore less prone to geometry degradation. However, any deviation from the design specs (e.g. due to the subsoil settling over time) will greatly increase the wear and tear on the suspension systems of HSR trains traveling at high speed. Some experts have suggested this may have contributed to the premature metal fatigue experienced by the axles of DB’s ICE3 and ICE-TD fleets.

    So, the devil will be in the details on this one.

    Al Reply:

    Maybe they could have four tracks for 90% of the route, and leave the most difficult segments. Later, if it were necessary to relieve bottlenecks, it could be widened without having to rebuild a whole lot.

    Last I heard, though, Caltrain was on the verge of shutting down for lack of funding. What’s the status of that?

    jimsf Reply:

    Caltrain is cutting jobs, and cutting rail service, and cutting customer service. They are also changing operators, to Veolia, which I think is the company with a bad safety record( they recently lost the metrolink contract). I wonder how good it can be for hsr to have to rely partnering with an agency in such bad shape.

    Daniel Krause Reply:

    I would venture a guess that the time requirement could be met with as little as one train a day that would express through at a time when the tracks are cleared of Caltrain traffic. That could help meet the technical requirement, while the HSR trains run a bit slower the rest of day as they slog through the Peninsula (due to a phasing approach). To be clear I am not advocating this, but I am guessing it is feasbile from a technical standpoint. If the money is flowing (i.e. either the Feds finally commit 50B+ or Asia bails us out), then the entire 4-track system should be built all at once.

    Peter Reply:

    I’m definitely not holding my breath for the Feds coming through, at least not for the starter line. I would not be surprised, however, if Japan or China float the remaining money for the starter line. Then, once the Feds see that this is real, they may be more willing to commit the necessary funding.

    Nathanael Reply:

    Quality standard increases for the freight trains running on the peninsula would eliminate some of the problems with freight trains wrecking track. The national minimum standards for the condition of the wheels on freight cars are… low. Imposing a higher standard on freight cars serving the peninsula would eliminate some of the most serious sharing-track-with-freight problems.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Nearly impossible to do. A shipper needs a car and one is sent out. The next one available not one that has gone through a very special inspection for the very special Peninsula.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Change “nearly impossible” to “impossible” and you’ve got it.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    I’m sure there’s a short line operator somewhere someplace that might when the phases of the moons of Jupiter are in the correct alignment and it’s the third Thursday of a month without an R in it, could do it. But only in leap years.

  7. Andre Peretti
    Sep 16th, 2010 at 08:51
    #7

    “an agency in such bad shape”
    Veolia has 312,000 employees worldwide and a revenue of $34.55 bn (2009). Its transport division runs commuter and urban services in many countries, including China.
    It has a great reputation as a cost cutter. For instance, Luas (Dublin, Ireland light rail) runs at a profit which it shares with the city.
    SNCF’s employees say Veolia’s secret is: non-union jobs, undertrained underpaid staff, which Veolia denies.
    SNCF has created a private company, Keolis, to compete with Veolia worldwide. Its first significant victory was in Melbourne. The city, which has the world’s largest light rail network, didn’t renew Veolia’s contract and awarded it to Keolis.
    Although Veolia is not the type of company I like, I don’t think it’s fair to blame the Metrolink accident on them. When you have freight and passenger trains sharing a single line without a proper signalling system, what do you expect? The people to blame are those who tolerate such third-world arrangements in the richest country on earth.

    thatbruce Reply:

    Commentary on the Metrolink Chatsworth accident ascribes the accident to the engineer being distracted by his cellphone (he’d previously been warned about doing so) to the extent that he ignored the indications from the existing working signalling system. Unlike the UP train that he ran into, the Metrolink locos at the time did not have a forward-facing camera system that would have recorded whether or not the signal was at the correct indication.

    Veolia’s safety record in that incident amounts to how shifts were structured (so-called ‘split’ shifts leading to long days) and discipline of its employees.

    Nathanael Reply:

    LA and Melbourne are not the only two places where Veolia has developed a bad repuation for providing poor service and poor safety by hiring unmotivated, underpaid, undertrained, mistreated employees.

    The other major train operating contractors in the world — Keolis, Virgin, etc. — do not have the same reputation.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    In France, Keolis is often viewed as a “socially sustainable” alternative to Veolia’s union-unfriendly type of management.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    I’m sorry, this was supposed to be a reply to Jim, not a new post.
    Anyway, changing operator when all the rest (track, rolling stock, etc…) remains the same generally changes nothing for the public.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Except when it massively improves what the public experiences. (How come awesome Amtrak isn’t winning any regional operating contracts in Europe anyway?)

    jimsf Reply:

    Its not amtrak’s job or place to bid on contracts in foreign countries. Why would they even want to?

    jimsf Reply:

    and yes, reducing the number of trains and staff is always a “massive improvement” isn’t it Richard?

  8. Robert Robillard
    Sep 16th, 2010 at 09:39
    #8

    It appears that almost, if not all, Public Transit in California runs with passenger income only paying 20% or less of the total costs for the respective systems. The remainder of the funding is through the ever increasing tax load on the general population. I believe that High Speed Rail for California is another developer’s dream that will become a costly nightmare for the taxpayer.

    Peter Reply:

    How is that different from the way roads are funded? Are roads more worthy of subsidies?

    synonymouse Reply:

    The difference is that roads remain enormously popular with the general populace. They are considered to be absolutely essential for the functioning of society. You can trace this principle back to the “via” of Imperial Rome. If you slapped a smart meter on every motor vehicle and charged users by the mile for highways the public would come to accept it. It is just the way it is.

    That said there is a place for urban public transit, which benefits large numbers of people, including motorists. The case for intercity and intraregional transport is a lot dicier. It has to be competitive with freeways and airlines and it can require only limited subsidies, much less than for urban mass transit, like BART or Caltrain. CHSRA insiders have been allowed, because the public accorded them trust that turns out to have been betrayed, to patch together a dysfunctional scheme. If the CHSRA can’t or won’t stick to the optimal route the whole scheme should be put on hold until the establishment drums up the courage to do it right.

    No private entrepreneur would build this dumb-down. The starter line needs to be faster and more direct.

    Travis D Reply:

    Believe that all you want. You’ll be wrong. Public transit, even if subsidized, benefits society and creates jobs be allowing people to move where they need to efficiently.

    But hey, you got yours, so to hell with everyone else.

    And how is this a developers dream? Highways are developers dreams.

  9. mikeorama
    Sep 16th, 2010 at 09:55
    #9

    Okay, I’m confused. Two questions:

    1. Hasn’t CHSRA already proposed a phased approach to the Peninsula? As represented in it’s recent application for federal funds? My recollection that the they say (I paraphrase from memory) “here’s the amount of money that we might have from ARRA and other federal funds, supplemented with Prop 1A funds, and here’s how we would spend it to create an initial operating segment on the Peninsula. Other Peninsula improvements would come later as funding became available.” Perhaps Caltrain would want a different package of improvements to go into a first phase, but CHSRA has done some analysis to decide on its concept of Phase 1.

    2. Isn’t the Peninsula HSR project being overseen by Bob Doty, who works for both CHSRA and Caltrain? Shouldn’t Caltrain be addressing its concerns, and contributing its best ideas, through its 50% management of the project? Or is this dual management only a fig leaf?

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    All Doty cares about — he has told me so in person — is “building in sufficient capacity”. In other words, pouring as much concrete as possible, as soon as possible, because his PB buddies “predict” 9 HS trains per hour to San Jose to San Francisco right off the bat — he told me I was wrong and confused to even bring up foreign examples showing real world demand of less and a quarter that amount. Somehow his personal involvement in the over-cost under-patronized Taiwan HSR system negates objective real world examples.

    A typical concrete ĂĽber alles throwback to the glory days of BART’s conception.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    PS not just as much concrete as possible as soon as possible, but as stupidly as possible.
    Witness: Transbay Terminal (approved by Caltrain), CEMOF (designed and built by Caltrain during Doty’s tenure), San Bruno (designed and approved entirely during Doty’s tenure), PB-profiting PCJPB board and staff shilling for Pacheco (for which Doty has been and remains a front and center cheeleader), insane Caltrain-proposed Caltrain-approved incompatible platform heights scheme for the peninsula, CBOSS (personally designed and approved by), San Jose platform expansion (configured for minimum throughput, incompatible with level boarding, and unnecessary!), North Terminal Reconfiguration in San Francisco that didn’t increase capacity, zero action to move to level boarding even after a decade of tenure … the list goes on and on.

    I really don’t know how they manage to never get one thing right, just by accident, once every couple decades, but they don’t. It’s incredible. The hundreds of millions of dollars spent without the slightest hint of a strategy to provide service.

    America’s Finest Transportation Professionals!

    political_incorrectness Reply:

    Anyway to flush out these guys without derailing the project? It seems the Bay Area needs some serious reform and an outsider’s prospective. Especially at the MTC which continues to approve dumb BART projects. There needs to be a serious cleanup at the MTC.

    Nathanael Reply:

    Didn’t they get the Baby Bullets right — isn’t that one thing right by accident? Or was that prior to Doty’s tenure at Caltrain?

    Joey Reply:

    If he wants to overbuild for excess capacity, he’s doing it wrong. Many of the design decisions that have thus far been made by the PRP increase cost but reduce track capacity to the point that there will likely be conflicts even with realistic service levels.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Concrete is the point. “Capacity” is the figleaf. Operational efficiency is for pussies.

  10. Michael Mahoney
    Sep 16th, 2010 at 17:28
    #10

    (1) As far as I can see, if the train doesn’t get to LA in 2:42, the bond holders can ask for their money back. A possible workaround would be to send out a nonstop train at, say, 0900 hrs. This would be the bond issue train. It would get to LA (we are told) at 1142. Then we send out a stopping train at 0930, and another bond issue train at 1000. At some point, the second bond issue train catches up with the stopping train that preceded it, but we arrange that meet so the stopping train is in a station somewhere, and the bond issue train goes through on the express track.
    (2) Aren’t all the polls pretty much meaningless? The question is, “Do you want a train coming through here at 130 mph?” The honest answer is, “Beats me. What does 130 mph sound like?” The poll respondents say they support HSR, when what they mean is they support their mental image of what HSR is supposed to be.

    rafael Reply:

    ad (1): There is nothing at all in AB3034(2008) that requires the HSR operator(s) to actually deliver even a single scheduled train between SF and LA with a travel time of 2h 40m. All the bill requires is that it must be technically possible to operate such a train, though it does not spell out the conditions under which this must be the case.

    Some might call that sophistry, that voters were told actual real-world commercial service would achieve this time target. To my mind, the law is broad enough to let an operator choose not to run non-stop trains, especially if the profit potential of other stop patterns is greater. Even more to the point: no-one is going to run any HSR trains up to SF at all unless both the environmental approval and the funding can be secured. If the only way to complete the starter line involves accepting (severe) constraints on the actual commercial service frequency for non-stop express trains, it would IMHO be absolutely legal for CHSRA to accept those constraint.

    ad (2): The planned top speed in the SF peninsula is actually 125mph, but same difference. Noise is a fairly complex subject, involving both the level – expressed in dB(A) – of a single sound event at various distances from the rails and the number of events per hour. The two are usually combined into a an equivalent sound level by integrating over a specified time interval, but in the context if total immissions from all noise sources affecting a particular outdoor location. This also includes both airborne and structure-borne noise transmission. Nighttime noise, e.g. between 10pm and 6am, is often given greater weight. The new noise source must not raise the immissions level above a threshold defined by legislation or regulations.

    Subjective psychoacoustic measures related to frequency distribution etc. are generally not used for environmental reviews, i.e. legal purposes. Rail planners tend to prefer expanding existing active rail corridors over other options for a variety of reasons, last not least because residents near the tracks are usually already habituated to rail noise. Those who cannot learn to live with it tend to move elsewhere if they can.

    In terms of the physics involved, vibration is essentially just noise below the frequency threshold of the human ear. In terms of the physiological impact, it is different, so different equivalent level thresholds may apply. Vibration may also have gradual structural impacts on poorly constructed foundation slabs, cause furniture and contents to rattle etc. The bulk of vibration imissions is structure-borne, so large volumes of soil between source and sink provide excellent damping. That means berms (e.g. retained fill embankments) and conventional ballast track tend to outperform stiff concrete aerials with slab track in this regard. The visual and aural impacts need to be traded off against one another.

    Unfortunately, this is rarely done because predicting noise emissions – never mind immissions – accurately requires a fairly mature engineering design for both infrastructure and trains. This early in the project-level planning process, that information is not yet available. The best you can do is collect reproducible data from comparable situations implemented abroad. To give you a rough idea, pass-by noise emissions from a modern steel wheels HSR train running at 200km/h (~125mph) on at-grade ballast track are on the order of 85dB at 50m (~150ft) in open terrain (e.g. a meadow). At just 50ft, they’d be well over 90dB. On the plus side, the number of noise events per hour from even a busy rail line is low compared to those from a busy road. Instead of a steady background din, you get silence punctuated by short but loud individual events.

    morris brown Reply:

    The actual language in AB-3034 travel times is:

    2704.09. The high-speed train system to be constructed pursuant
    to this chapter shall be designed to achieve the following
    characteristics:
    (a) Electric trains that are capable of sustained maximum revenue
    operating speeds of no less than 200 miles per hour.
    (b) Maximum nonstop service travel times for each corridor that
    shall not exceed the following:
    (1) San Francisco-Los Angeles Union Station: two hours, 40
    minutes.
    (2) Oakland-Los Angeles Union Station: two hours, 40 minutes.
    (3) San Francisco-San Jose: 30 minutes.
    (4) San Jose-Los Angeles: two hours, 10 minutes.
    (5) San Diego-Los Angeles: one hour, 20 minutes.
    (6) Inland Empire-Los Angeles: 30 minutes.
    (7) Sacramento-Los Angeles: two hours, 20 minutes.

    Readers can judge for themselves whether to believe the statement here by Rafael.

    On a practical basis, when it turns out that the trip is 3 hr 15 minutes what will happen? The line has been built. What would be the punishment?

    Peter Reply:

    “What would be the punishment?”

    We’d have a high speed train system? What’s your point?

  11. Tony D.
    Sep 17th, 2010 at 13:50
    #11

    Rafael or Robert,
    How exactly would this “phased” plan look in terms of design, stations, ROW width, trackage, etc? How much time would be added to a LA-SF run? I consider myself an ardent anti-NIMBY, but this “phased” idea is intriguing. Perhaps in the future a more in-depth post could be written to expand on the actual nuts and bolts of this Caltrain/HSR “phased” plan.

  12. morris brown
    Sep 18th, 2010 at 07:48
    #12

    As CalTrain tries to re-position itself with this new “reset” / “phased in” approach, one should really look at what is or is not possible with 2 tracks or 4 tracks. CalTrain is promoting that 4 tracks won’t be needed right away at least, maybe not for 20 or 25 years. CalTrain is saying that 10 or 11 trains each way per hour at peak times is not necessary for a very long time.

    CalTrain is saying we will get by with 2 tracks through Menlo Park / Palo Alto, even at grade. Anyway that’s one way of looking at their letters.

    What is really informative is to look at what has been said on this and related issues. Over at Clem’s Bog he has a link

    http://caltrain-hsr.blogspot.com/2010/06/strange-bedfellows-indeed.html

    to a transcript which paints a completely different picture. As one re-reads this, one just comes away with the sense that the Authority and CalTrain are completely at odds on this possibility, with essentially Tony Daniels saying 4 tracks are absolutely necessary.

    Who is one to believe? In any case, a phased in approach would mean enduring at least 2 separate construction periods. Any City which has endured even one, never wants to endure another.

    In Palo Alto, the loss of CalTrain service would result in complete chaos to their transportation system. They are so heavily dependent upon CalTrain to deliver riders to the Stanford campus, that loss of that service can’t be tolerated.

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