Once More: HSR Does Not Produce Sprawl

Mar 18th, 2010 | Posted by Robert Cruickshank

Over at Wired Magazine, Jason Kambitsis has an article that’s getting lots of coverage around the transit blogs. In the article, he argues HSR is a “conduit of sprawl”:

It’s fast, it’s efficient and it is the future of transportation, but will high-speed rail cause sprawl?

Yes, it could, warn some urban planners. Despite the promise of creating more densely populated urban centers, high-speed rail could do quite the opposite by making it easier for people to live far from urban centers….

But that convenience could increase emigration from California’s urban centers to the exurbs and beyond. In other words, it could lead to more sprawl.

Kambitsis’s article isn’t a piece of HSR denial – he supports the concept and understands its place in a 21st century economy and transportation network. But he looks at places like Bakersfield and Fresno and argues that HSR could produce sprawl, unless steps are taken to mitigate against it:

Proactive land use policies focused on increasing urban density coupled with incentives for transit-oriented development and suburban infill must be embraced by communities along high-speed rail lines — especially those with planned stops. This will help create a market for transportation and the subsequent development tied to it. Regional and local transportation planning initiatives that create infrastructure connecting pedestrians, bicycles and mass transit and place it on a level playing field with automobiles will reduce dependence on cars for commuting. Parking should be provided in garages, not lots, and it must be integrated into the development. And, finally, stations must be landmark, not utilitarian, structures that compliment their communities and welcome riders. Grand Central Station in New York is an excellent example.

If you’ve been reading this blog since 2008, however, you’d know that I’ve already been advocating for exactly those kinds of TOD policies. Californians For High Speed Rail prefers downtown stations built with TOD precisely for this purpose, to channel growth inward and help mitigate against sprawl.

But in my posts on HSR and sprawl, I’ve identified other factors that suggest the concern is not only misplaced, but leaves out some other rather important factors that suggest it will actually be quite difficult for HSR to produce sprawl.

Sprawl is NOT a force of nature. It is a product of three factors: cheap oil, cheap credit and favorable land use laws. Cheap oil is a thing of the past. Cheap credit will be as well – rates are low right now, but loans are hard to get, and virtually everyone expects rates to rise very soon. Even with a bailout, we have not seen a return to the lax lending practices, fueled by cheap credit, that enabled the most recent binge of Central Valley sprawl.

As to the last point, land use rules are going to have to change regardless of HSR. Stopping HSR isn’t going to eliminate sprawl, far from it. But to eliminate sprawl, you need to provide opportunities for urban density and transit-oriented development. Portland, Oregon provides the model. Portland has strict anti-sprawl rules, but these were only successful because Portland promoted urban density. Providing passenger rail has been the key to that. In short, if you want to stop sprawl, you need to give people another option.

HSR is that other option. Without HSR Central Valley cities will have less incentive to channel development to city centers and will lack the infrastructure to make it happen even if they chose to do so.

That’s not all. The state legislature is also planning to link land use, sprawl, and global warming via Sen. Darrell Steinberg’s SB 375, which prioritizes TOD and helps cut down on sprawl. Prop 1A contained a provision forbidding construction of a station at Los Banos, a key demand of anti-sprawl advocates.

Another element in the anti-sprawl battle is a recent court ruling invalidating a housing cap in Pleasanton. Such housing caps produce sprawl by forcing housing growth to happen elsewhere, especially the Central Valley. Now cities in places like the Bay Area and the SoCal core will have to add more housing.

More anti-sprawl rules would help ensure that sprawl is dead in the Central Valley. These rules would include restoration of state funding for the Williamson Act, which enables local governments to buy land to keep it as open space or in agricultural use. It’s been a key anti-sprawl tool, but has been defunded by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in recent budget cuts.

In other words, there’s a lot of tools out there, existing and potential, to help push back against sprawl. Combined with good station locations, the ongoing rise in oil prices, and the lack of cheap credit, there’s every reason to believe HSR will not produce sprawl.

UPDATE: Eric Fredericks of the CHSRA added this in the comments:

Thanks for your post, Robert. I work for the High-Speed Rail Authority. I just wanted to say that we are committed to working with local communities to encourage transit-oriented development and a network of complete streets and feeder transit systems—with the HST stations serving as hubs. This is part of the reason why we’re so committed to the Vision California project, as we think it’s important to shape the framework for future “smarter” development in California.

You can check out some of the work we’ve already been doing on the sustainability section of our website: http://www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/library.asp?p=8448 (we’ll be expanding this in upcoming months). We are currently working on a TOD potential study for Fresno as well as Station Area Urban Design Guidelines. We are also working on a few other projects related to this area as well.

  1. Ben
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 11:57
    #1

    I posted this yesterday but I will post it again since it is important that this legislation gains no momentum. According to the SJ Mercury (http://www.mercurynews.com/california/ci_14681077?nclick_check=1), Assemblymember Diane Harkey (R-Dana Point, 73rd District) introduced legislation to defund high speed rail in California. Democrat Judy Jones is running against Harkey this November. Here is Ms Jones’ website: http://www.judyjonesforassembly.net/pr/jones2008/default.aspx

    tomh Reply:

    I heard about this and was wondering, can legislation like Harkey’s overturn a voter approved initiative?

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    No.

    Happily, Harkey’s legislation has zero chance of passage.

  2. Missiondweller
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 12:38
    #2

    To expand a little more on Portland’s success (where I grew up), they developed a regional government (Metro) to deal with regional planning and created the US’ first Urban Growth Boundary. This had the effect of forcing developers to focus on “infill” rather than sprawl. Metro further encouraged this by allowing higher densities around transit corridors.

    To apply some of this to California we want to encourage cities along the HSR route to have 20-30 year growth plans that allow mixed use TOD to encourage vibrant down towns rather than an expanding suburbia. If done right it can preserve the character of the town rather than destroying it. I think this will become vitally important as smaller communities often don’t aspire to become “big cities”.

    Samsonian Reply:

    I’ve read a fair amount about Portland’s success, and much has been made of it. And clearly there are a lot of elements in play there (emphasis on rail transit, regional planning, UGB, etc.), but I think among the most important are the land use/zoning, and the general attitude there.

    They not only up-zoned the areas around transit corridors, they encouraged high-density development there. And officials there brag about the fact that private developers have invested billion of dollars in medium to high-density development around transit corridors, because of rail being there.

    In California, and the SF Bay Area in particular (lifelong resident), you’d never see that happen. This is one of the most anti-development and anti-growth areas anywhere. We see that in the failed BART & VTA light rail expansion to the suburbs, with little to no rezoning. We see that reflected in the housing prices, even now. A functioning market would have responded to price signals by building more (and denser) housing here, but our land use/zoning doesn’t allow for that, and people seem to prefer it that way. As a consequence of that pent up demand, we had housing built where it was allowed, places like the Central Valley and Inland Empire, creating sprawl and an unsustainable bubble.

    I’ve heard several people (including transit advocates, developers, residents) describe Portland as among the most pro-development and pro-growth big cities on the West Coast and in the entire country. Which is quite contrary to the claims of faux conservatives and libertarians, who say that Portland is anti-development and that the UGB caused housing shortages and price increases. They apparently are ignoring all that infill development and the fact that Portland is one of the most affordable big cities on the West Coast.

  3. synonymouse
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 13:16
    #3

    Building the hsr on the I-5 Grapevine alignment is the way to eliminate the sprawl issue.

    elfling Reply:

    On the contrary, it’s the way to ensure that housing is built in Kettleman City and other places with little water and no existing infrastructure.

    synonymouse Reply:

    Not if there aren’t any stops of the I-5 racetrack.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    The lack of stops discourages people from driving?

    Marcus Reply:

    That makes zero sense. How is *not* having stops going to prevent sprawl? The whole point is to cluster development around the stations. If there are no stops, then there is no incentive to build densely.

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    Exactly. As we saw last decade, without HSR there was widespread sprawl in the Valley anyway. I think that’s not as likely to return this decade, but HSR is a powerful incentive away from sprawl.

    Joey Reply:

    The Fresno and Bakersfield areas are so large already that downtown stations would not permit people living in any new outward development to commute using HSR. It is likely, in fact, that HSR will curve new development toward the stations (downtown, high-density development) and away from the outer edges.

  4. Spokker
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 13:19
    #4

    Did those French TGV stations placed in the middle of no where encourage sprawl? I don’t know.

    Joey Reply:

    How similar/different are France’s land use policies to ours?

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    When France was centralised anti-sprawl regulations were enforced very strictly. It was illegal to sell farmland to a developper. Now, it is the responsibility of local councils to decide whether a zone is constructible or not. Many villages situated at drivable distance from a city have decided to open their farmland to developpers, with the result you can imagine.
    The extreme (and most horrible) example is Plan de Campagne. 40 years ago, it was a tiny village halfway between Marseille and its airport. It is now the biggest commercial center in France and probably in Europe. There are 400 stores, some of them gigantic and ugly. Thousands of houses have also sprung up and there is now hardly any empty space between the airport, Aix and Marseille. This makes a rail link to the airport very problematic.
    Downtown Marseille is the first victim as many stores have gone out of business.
    It seems to be difficult for a rural town council to resist the developpers’ offers. So, I will sin against freedom and say: it’s time for the government to step in and put a stop to it. Otherwise France will no longer look like France.

    Spokker Reply:

    Thanks for this.

    It seems that HSR can produce sprawl is land use policies do not back it up.

    But then again, Metrolink in Southern California has been accused of creating sprawl, enabling people to live in the boonies and avoid the traffic. But we also don’t want them to drive all that way to work. Seems like it’s a situation of being damned if you do and damned if you don’t.

    Andre Peretti Reply:

    As regards sprawl, the TGV has been neutral. Of course, it has helped 1 million Parisians (mostly families with children) leave central Paris. As they leapfrogged the outer suburbs, I won’t call that sprawl. It prevented some nice old cities from becoming backwaters.
    What actually causes sprawl is this type of ad: “For less than your monthly rent, you can OWN this house, ten minutes from downtown”. (“ten minutes”: maybe at 2am…).
    France has the world’s N°1 and N°2 construction firms (Vinci and Bouygues) and Europe’s N°1 hypermarket chain (Carrefour). Bouygues also owns TF1, the most popular TV channel.
    Can you imagine a little rural mayor saying NO to these monsters?
    Only national legislation can counter them.

    jimsf Reply:

    Please save France. Do not let them turn it into Houston.

  5. Bianca
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 13:37
    #5

    Kambitsis seemed to completely overlook that two years ago gas was flirting with $5/gallon, and that once the economy picks up, gas prices will too. A lot of that far-flung low-density housing is going to start looking really unattractive at the very same time as a 100% clean-powered transportation alternative becomes even more appealing to Californians.

    EJ Reply:

    Maybe, though if I can drive a relatively short distance from my suburban home and jump on the high speed train, that eases the pain of $5 gas considerably. I think HSR is pretty much sprawl-neutral. It doesn’t stimulate TOD as much as commuter rail and rapid transit. It can encourage commuters to migrate out to cheaper exurbs, but whether that leads to sprawl is pretty much a function of land-use planning in those exurbs.

    I do think anti-sprawl can be a tough sell in California – since the relatively warm climate both makes backyards attractive and means that homes are cheap to heat in the winter.

    Bianca Reply:

    If your suburban home is “a relatively short distance” to HSR, that’s precisely not the kind of far-flung housing I meant.

    EJ Reply:

    I’ve seen several friends and co-workers move out to the Inland Empire, specifically because they can buy a nice 3 or 4 bedroom suburban home and live within 30 minutes of a Metrolink station, so they can reach their jobs in LA. A number of them have specifically stated that they would not have moved out there, and would most likely be living in apartments or condos closer to work, if the train wasn’t an option and they would have had to commute by car.

    I’m not a mind reader so I don’t know what you meant, but that sure seems like far-flung low density housing to me. Of course anecdotes are not data, but I doubt this kind of thinking is peculiarly unique to people I happen to know.

    flowmotion Reply:

    > but whether that leads to sprawl is pretty much a function of land-use planning in those exurbs.

    IMO it’s almost given that Central Valley cities and Palmdale are and will be more “sprawl friendly” than those in the built-up Bay Area or LA Basin. Its quite possible that both scenarios are true – HSR will encourage both more centralization and more sprawl.

    One thing to keep in mind is that if HSR enables companies to export their ‘back office’ jobs to the valley, 99% of those employees will never ride the HSR for business purposes. Most of them will probably end up driving to work day-in-and-out.

  6. elfling
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 13:43
    #6

    I think HSR encourages people to want to live near the station, so that they can walk or take very simple local transit to the HSR station, hop on the train, and go. Bakersfield, Lancaster, and Palmdale, for example, are already a sprawl of Los Angeles. But, the highway makes it equally easy to live 20 miles outside of the center of town as right in town.

  7. EJ
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 13:53
    #7

    Seems to me, your point isn’t really that HSR doesn’t produce sprawl, but that we need to change zoning and land use laws to contain the sprawl that HSR would otherwise produce.

  8. Eric Fredericks
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 15:18
    #8

    Thanks for your post, Robert. I work for the High-Speed Rail Authority. I just wanted to say that we are committed to working with local communities to encourage transit-oriented development and a network of complete streets and feeder transit systems—with the HST stations serving as hubs. This is part of the reason why we’re so committed to the Vision California project, as we think it’s important to shape the framework for future “smarter” development in California.

    You can check out some of the work we’ve already been doing on the sustainability section of our website: http://www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/library.asp?p=8448 (we’ll be expanding this in upcoming months). We are currently working on a TOD potential study for Fresno as well as Station Area Urban Design Guidelines. We are also working on a few other projects related to this area as well.

    Richard Mlynarik Reply:

    Jonathan Meades has some choice words on the subject: Substainable. Sustainabulous. Sustainastic.

    “Sustainable … inherently sustainable … careful siting … lifetime appraisal … holistic approach … pro-active sustainability … innovative design solutions … sustainable practice … Sustainable. Sustainabulous. Sustainastic. This is simply architectural correctness. There is no architect left on earth who fails to proclaim the mantra of sustainability, which means whatever you want it to mean. Green. So green it gives you verdigris. It’s a slogan of conformist unoriginality matched by the interchangeable, glossy, faux-mo structures nearly all these biddable people design.

    Joey Reply:

    Sustainability is just a marketing buzzword that, as you said, has little meaning these days. But as far as I can tell HSR is better than no HSR.

  9. Joey
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 16:41
    #9

    Well, this is a complex question, for sure. HSR may, in fact, encourage people to live farther from where they work than they do now. This doesn’t necessarily mean sprawl though. Commuters will want to live within easy access of the station, which means within walking/biking distance of a short drive. For already-large Central Valley cities like Fresno and Bakersfield, this means new, higher-density development in already developed areas (though there may still be a little bit of room for this central area to grow in places like Palmdale, Gilroy, and maybe southwest Fresno). But certainly, HSR needs to be combined with effective land-use policies to keep sprawl to a minimum.

    That being said, I don’t think that encouraging people to live far from where they work is good policy in general, regardless of what mode of transportation they are using to commute and whether or not it induces sprawl. HSR is (rightfully) planned as serving intercity trips, not commute journeys. And that is policy that needs to be maintained. The fare structure will probably regulate this more than anything else. And this will largely be determined by the operator. Come to think of it, a public operator might make more sense than a private operator, as it would have less of an incentive to profit off of commute trips that might otherwise be taken, but either way, some strict policies should probably be implemented to limit the types of trips which we don’t want. For instance, fares should start high, even for short distances, and not vary too much over the spectrum of distances traveled. People are willing to pay a little bit more money for intercity trips, which are less frequent, compared to commuting, which they do every day. The types of multi-ride passes offered should be limited as well. Passes need to serve people who need to travel frequently (mainly business travelers) without serving those who would otherwise commute every day. So limiting passes to 10 rides/month or so would probably be a good idea. I can’t think of anything else right now, but I’d like to hear what other people have to say about this…

    Samsonian Reply:

    Trips like these will still be made anyway, it’s better they be made by HSR than car. I don’t see the benefit in pricing out a huge market, especially when we need to maximize ridership and utilization of the very expensive infrastructure we’re planning to build.

    People in cities like Fresno, should have access to jobs in Bay Area and LA. And HSR shouldn’t just be about intercity trips. It can and should provide regional trips as well (or at least the infrastructure for municipalities to do so).

    Preventing sprawl requires allowing and encouraging dense, mixed use development in the cities along the line. Pricing people out of mobility is not the way to achieve that.

  10. Nadia
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 18:03
    #10

    Who is responsible for paying for the proposed parking structures that go with stations?

    It is my understanding that the cities are responsible -is that correct? If so, I’m assuming (perhaps incorrectly) that the idea is that this would count as part of the local match money. However, as an example, a place like Gilroy – which I believe is slated to have 6,600 parking spots, has no money to pay for the parking lot. They’re broke. So, then what?

    A way to force better land use policies might be to reward stations only to those cities that have made the commitment to make and enforce the kinds of TOD policies needed to stop sprawl (in addition to making a commitment to fund feeder networks, etc).

    However, then there could be a ridership problem if, for example, a place like Gilroy – who might attract a lot of riders, can’t actually pay for it.

    What other incentives can be used specifically at station locations?

    Joey Reply:

    I think the general idea is that parking will be provided by cities or other agencies (including private companies).

    Nadia Reply:

    Is that specified anywhere in the business plan or other documents? I’m having trouble finding stuff related to how that works.

    Elizabeth Reply:

    It doesn’t count towards the local contribution since parking costs are not even part of the budget, although if I had to guess HSRA will eventually put up the cost but claim parking revenues. Even large cities don’t have the money to do this right now.

    Joey Reply:

    I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of private companies being interested in the parking market though … especially after HSR is operational. Parking will likely grow as demand grows.

  11. Alon Levy
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 18:51
    #11

    But he looks at places like Bakersfield and Fresno and argues that HSR could produce sprawl, unless steps are taken to mitigate against it.

    How is that a controversial point, let alone an anti-HSR point? Look, Bakersfield and Fresno have little TOD. $5/gallon gas makes people drive less, but if you only drive within a small urban area and take the train everywhere else, your VMT is so low you can live with high gas prices. We’re not talking about turning Fresno into LA here.

  12. Thomas Noi
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 21:06
    #12

    I strongly support transit-oriented development, but there is a concern that such development will only benefit middle or upper income persons and discriminate against low income persons. TOD needs to be class and income blind to benefit all Californians.

    Joey Reply:

    Which means we need to have laws and incentives surrounding it, since TOD is by and large the work of private developers.

    Robert Cruickshank Reply:

    The best way to do that is to have a lot of TOD.

    Current California housing policy that emphasizes sprawl discriminates against low and middle incomes, since it makes them vulnerable to oil price spikes and dependent on unaffordable or even fraudulent financing schemes.

    The recent housing bubble and its collapse pretty clearly indicated this to be the case.

    BW Reply:

    City of San Mateo has a great Low income TOD project being built now “Peninsula Station Affordable Housing” 68 unit housing next to the Hillsdale station and soon to build Bay Meadows project. Seems to be a comittment to TOD at the city counsel level that makes for affordable housing.

    Spokker Reply:

    This is what I’m worried about too. Right now it seems like living near a train station is trendy and gay, so it’s really expensive, but if there is a lot of it maybe it won’t be so expensive.

    I don’t want to see rent control because that just makes the problem worse, but I do hope enough TOD is built to make it affordable.

    Samsonian Reply:

    I’m responding to this whole thread, and somewhat repeating myself from earlier in the comments.

    Robert is correct. The only way to guarantee affordable TOD, is to make to make sure we have enough of it (simple supply and demand). The way to do that is to have more reasonable land-use/zoning that enables TOD, instead of the asinine zoning most of California has now (required segregation of residential from retail/commercial, low density single-family detached only, big lots and setbacks, etc). Look at BART and VTA light rail in the suburbs. There has been almost no re-zoning, to allow development around stations.

    Portland has done a good job of building rail, and allowing development around them. It’s significantly more affordable than the Bay Area or LA.

    As a couple of you pointed out, when we have done TOD, it’s often very expensive. A big part of that is the lack of supply of this type of housing here. But a lot of it is the process in getting through the red tape, and getting approved. It’s extremely difficult, can take years of negotiations, and cost a lot of money.

    I remember reading a developers comments on high rise residential in places like NYC and SF (paraphrasing), “For the same amount of brain damage [dealing with city planning], I can do luxury and make more money. Or just go ‘affordable,’ get public money [i.e. Section 8, redevelopment funds, etc], and let the local government deal with any opposition [NIMBYs].”

    The political and regulatory regime for land-use/zoning is such that the middle of the market gets squeezed out. We need to change that by reforming zoning rules, allowing and encouraging (i.e. make it easier) TOD around rail stations.

  13. Travis D
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 22:19
    #13

    I sure hope sprawl isn’t completely dead because there’s no way in hell that I am ever going to live in an apartment block or a condo. While there are lots of people who are cool with living like a rat in those buildings there will always be at least some people like myself who would rather die than do so.

    That said I think HSR benefits both types of people which is why I’ve been a strong supporter all along.

    jimsf Reply:

    There will always be folks who want a nice home and yard in a manicured suburb where the grime and filrth and crime of urban living is out of sight. I can stand living in sf cuz I love the city no matter what, but I sure wouldn’t wish it on normal middle class folks and certainly not force it on them. It just isn’t very attractive unless you have the ability to exist a scoche outside reality. it takes a lot of effort to pretend you don’t see and smell what you see and smell around here.

    Peter Reply:

    There has to be a major shift in the way people “see” apartment living in the U.S. In Germany, people take pride in their apartments and often live in the same unit for many decades. My mother has been in the same apartment for over 20 years at this point. My friends parents have had their apartment for over 30 years. The big difference is that while fixes to utilities like plumbing and electrical are mostly handled by the landlord, the tenant has free reign to remodel his apartment as he desires. You can thereby turn your apartment into your home and have a vested stake in it and how it looks. People don’t really get that option in apartments over here.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Sure they do, they are called condominiums.

    Joey Reply:

    Most of the new high-density condo development I’ve seen is more or less off limits to anyone but wealthy young singles and childless couples. Maybe this is just because I live in San Francisco, but most of them seem to be expensive and not suited for family living.

    Peter Reply:

    These apartments though are not owned by the tenants. I’m not talking about condos. They have those too, called Eigentumswohnungen. I’m talking about rented apartments, called Wohnungen.

  14. political_incorrectness
    Mar 18th, 2010 at 22:24
    #14

    http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2010/03/18/the-sprawling-effects-of-high-speed-rail/ Yonah made a post about Sprawl due to HSR, and usually it is mitigated through high density land use policies.

  15. synonymouse
    Mar 19th, 2010 at 00:43
    #15

    Enabling sprawl is the motive behind LA’s forcing the hsr to Palmdale.

    Joey Reply:

    No one cares about Palmdale. It just happens to be along the easier route. Unless you have SIGNIFICANT CONCRETE EVIDENCE that this was anything but a technical decision, you’re not helping anyone, least of all yourself, by repeating it like a broken record.

    synonymouse Reply:

    You are probably too young to remember Watergate. Good ol’ boy corruption is virtually impossible to out. All the power players are greasing each others’ palms.

    Palmdale-Tehachapis is the easy way out alright – as in lazy, retrograde, braindead. Yours is the California of Jesse Unruh or Abe Ruef, not of Howard Hughes or M. M. O’Shaugnessy.

    The extra costs(if any)of the base tunnels in the Grapevine region will be dwarfed by the perennial operating subsidies required by the meandering turkey you want to build.

    Peter Reply:

    Well, then convince some journalists to look into it.

    Otherwise you’re just wasting your, and more importantly, OUR, time.

    synonymouse Reply:

    They won’t find any smoking guns, because as Willie Brown dictated, never leave any records of the deals. Think of Italy, where every institution has been compromised and penetrated by organized crime. California honchos observe a a kind of establishment omerta. Against an opponent this entrenched little guys like Palo Alto have to resort to every available tactic lest they be steamrollered.

    The clone of the UP map that the CHSRA has in mind is a white elephant guaranteed to require operating subsidies. Expect extreme public dissatisfaction as they grasp this inevitability. The real question is when will the point of defunding.

    Spokker Reply:

    If only the Internet was a chalkboard.

    Peter Reply:

    I kind of think of synonymouse’s comments more like graffiti sprayed on the wall of a building. You know, the kind of wall where you can see where building’s owners have already painted over previous graffit.

    Joey Reply:

    Again, show ONE piece of real, thorough, numerical analysis that even suggests that the Tehachapi route will yield ANY net decrease in ridership.

    synonymouse Reply:

    The same “numerical analysis” that was used to justify BART to SFO?

    The projections turn out to be guesswork. In the case of the Grapevine the studies cannot be taken as gospel simply because the political decision to go Palmdale had already been made by insiders and the engineers knew what the conclusions had to be. That’s the way things work.

    For the layman taxpayer common sense and practice has to be the yardstick in analyzing alternatives. Direct and faster always trump circuitous and slower. When it comes to major civil works projects the best alternative, altho more challenging, turns out to be the best investment in the long run.

    I believe that to be the case with the Grapevine alignment. The SR138 base tunnels that parallel I-5 to the east but do not go anywhere near Palmdale do not appear to have been considered. The timidity and lack of macho that characterizes the CHSRA’s exit scheme from the LA basin to the San Joaquin Valley is unfortunate and misplaced – it should been reserved for dealing with the hapless residents of the Peninsula instead of the hubris and intransigeance we see displayed in the blighty berm nonsense.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Yes, you’re right, agencies with a track record of success praised BART to SFO and predicted high ridership for it.

    Give us a break, okay?

    synonymouse Reply:

    All I am saying that the Grapevine was given the shaft by not getting the shaft, so to speak. The CHSRA has screwed up on this one and should look at the SR138 alternative again. There was a rush to dismiss the direct route, a grave error which can still be rectified.

    Overall it seems the CHSRA is living in its own “beltway bubble” and is blithely unaware of the growing public skepticism over the whole project. The general public is enthusiastic about over the top concepts like maglev. What excites the public is excellence, namely the direct route, not a second rate detour. Saving money on tunnels is a losing strategy – the public likes and understands the need for tunnels.

    Peter Reply:

    And most people disagree with you. Political decisions should not be made based on mob rule. The fact that they often are is unfortunate.

    However, when there are good technical reasons for choosing an alternative, as there are in this case (basically now only disputed by you and Tolmach & Co.), public sentiment should definitely be ignored, as it rightly was here. If there even WAS general public sentiment for Grapevine to begin with, which I highly doubt. Most people don’t even know what the route is supposed to be, unless it goes near their house.

    The public only cares about tunnels if the tunnels mean they won’t have to see the trains. If the tunnels are in the middle of nowhere, they don’t care whether they tunnel or not.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Synon, mentioning maglev doesn’t give you more gravitas.

    CHSRA didn’t even shaft the Grapevine. It studied it. For a while, the Grapevine was the route of choice. Then further analysis showed that the Grapevine had too much geological risk. Despite this, some of the section-by-section cost estimates produced last year included estimates for the Grapevine. (Assuming everything goes alright, the cost is about the same; the problem is what happens if things go wrong in the tunneling).

    Spokker Reply:

    Everybody and their mother thinks a train to the airport is common sense. Look at how many people bitch about the Green Line not going to LAX. Maybe airport connections are overhyped, but remember that hindsight is always 20/20.

    Peter Reply:

    “Lack of macho”? Where the hell do you get off? What does “macho” have to do with making technical decisions? What role SHOULD it have? I’ll give you a hint: NONE.

    synonymouse Reply:

    Trying to ram berms down the middle of affluent suburbs is super-macho. Macho bullying.

    synonymouse Reply:

    No it wasn’t “mob rule” A handful of insiders were able to impose their personal preferences on the CHSRA plan.

    synonymouse Reply:

    Gravirta is not my intent. Base tunnels are something the voters can be excited about and can endorse. Who is going to be impressed with tagging after the UP(not amused) and half-assed tunnels dipping arund the far-flung Tehachapis? Still probably going to have snow problems.

    Peter Reply:

    I assume that with “handful of insiders” you are referring to the Authority’s board members, who are a bipartisan commission?

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Voters get excited about base tunnels?

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Wellllll some people get excited about long sleek steely trains thrusting impatiently through the dark tunnels encased totally in the bosom of the mountains …. Barbara Cartland would have done that much better….

    Joey Reply:

    You still haven’t proven anything.

    Let me give a hypothetical situation. Let’s say, hypothetically, that the Grapevine alignment was reopened. And let’s say, hypothetically, that an independent group was commissioned to study it. And let’s say, hypothetically, that said independent group determined that the Tehachapi alignment yielded equal or greater ridership, as well as far superior in terms of earthquake safety and tunneling risk (and associated cost escalation). Would you accept this verdict?

    synonymouse Reply:

    Yes.

    BTW Alfred Hitchcock did get away(for the ’50’s)a lot of tunnel action in “North by Northwest”.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Great, one movie from the 50s.

    Look, nowadays what’s sexy is the top speed and the shape of the trains. Nobody gives a damn about anything else, for better and for worse. Base tunnels? Meh. They’re cannon fodder for right-wing populists in Switzerland.

    EJ Reply:

    You’re probably too young to remember Hitler. Godwin FTW!

  16. Rafael
    Mar 19th, 2010 at 08:55
    #16

    Sprawl = car-centric low-density low-rise expansion of suburbs

    Exurbanization = transit-centric high-density high-rise expansion of remote city centers

    HSR does *not* inherently promote sprawl, though poor local land use policies could pervert its potential.

    On the other hand, HSR *could* lead to exurbanization: think Silicon Valley worker bees commuting from Fresno or Hollywood types commuting from Palmdale or Bakersfield. In e.g. France, the TGV network and cheap monthly/annual passes have encouraged the middle class to flee both overpriced Paris and its high-crime banlieue (suburbs) and live in distant towns like Tours (Loire Valley) and Reims (Champagne). However, those places are arguably a lot more attractive than Central/Antelope Valley towns are today. Moreover, Paris has a very well-developed system for connecting transit.

    For both of these reasons plus county-level influence over fare strategies, it is unlikely the exurbanization effect due to HSR in California will ever be as pronounced as it has been in France. There are only so many high-rise apartment towers that could possibly be built within walking distance of California HSR stations, so supply and demand will drive up their prices in due course. Realistically, any exurbanization effect beyond that will require either a car used primarily for commuting (expensive to own and operate) plus expensive parking or, substantially improved public transit. Central and Antelope Valley towns can ill afford that on their own and neither the Bay Area nor the LA basin nor Congress are going to invest heavily in it. (Electric) bicycles are a good alternative during the dry season, but only if there is a network of bike lanes/paths and appropriate parking/recharge infrastructure or commuters choose folding types they can take along on the train.

    Bottom line: the whole brouhaha about HSR supposedly causing sprawl is really about exurbanization and the impact that could have on house prices in areas where zoning laws have artificially propped them up. However, for the reasons discussed above, homeowners can relax – HSR isn’t going to change commute patterns all that radically, at least not anytime soon.

    jimsf Reply:

    The transformation will happen organically over time, a long time, and will not be disruptive.

    The main focus of hsr, will be to simply provide a “third” travel option, rail, or in california’s case, where we have successful rail in place already, to simply enhance and improve that third option, so that peoplle can get between city pairs, whatever those city pairs may be. Not all about sf-la, but simply the fact that all the populations of 500k and up, and their associated regions, will be interconnected allowing for unlimited mobility to the majority of the state’s population.

    Peter Reply:

    I like the idea of improving and speeding up service on rail lines like the San Joaquins. That will provide the cheaper “local” BART-like service that synonymouse keeps on claiming HSR will become.

    jimsf Reply:

    Peter, That’s the plan per the ca state rail plan as far as know…..

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Jim, there ain’t gonna be no San Joaquins after phase II is built out. Not ones you would find on today’s map anyway.

    Peter Reply:

    But the cities currently served by the San Joaquins, but that will not be served by HSR would still need service after HSR is built.

    Maybe they wouldn’t be running five or six car monstrosities, but relatively frequent DMU service might be appropriate.

    adirondacker12800 Reply:

    Go look at the annual ridership numbers at the stations that won’t have HSR. With the exception o of Turlock/Hanford the riders could be handled easily with airport shuttle sized buses. To fill an RDC they would be running it once a day. Once a day service means people would drive to the nearest HSR station or take Greyhound… assuming Greyhound would be interested in trips that short.

    jimsf Reply:

    The san joaquins will still be there.

    jimsf Reply:

    Acela didn’t eliminate nec regional. and by the time phse two is built out, which realistically won’t be until 2040. The valley will be a vastly different place and who knows, or will care, what they do at that point. I certainly won’t, as ill be in the home or the grave.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    The Acela has a tiny fleet, and charges astronomical fares. HSR is planned to charge reasonable fare, and have large enough a fleet to overwhelm the capacity of the San Joaquins.

    Samsonian Reply:

    It doesn’t make sense to run standard speed, heavy, FRA compliant trains, in the same corridor as HSR.

    The answer is connecting transit, and regional rail EMUs sharing HSR infrastructure. CA4HSR included that in their various scoping comments, and it makes a lot sense (serves more communities and increases utilization of expensive, high capacity, HSR infrastructure).

    I’d rather Amtrak California refocus into areas of the state not served by HSR, and are disconnected from the rest of the state. Places like the Central Coast, the North Coast, the northern Central Valley.

    jimsf Reply:

    the san joaquins will be extended up the sacramento valley to redding. but they will run all the way to bakersfield with a single seat ride that will connect places like marysville and chico with places like merced and corcoran. the prison visits alone up and down the valley are reason enough.

    jimsf Reply:

    Besides the politics will matter as well. The state isn’t just going to up and pull the plug on a state route, and all the big players involved, who all have a vested interest. amtrak, union pacific, caltrans, bnsf, the unions, the politicians, and the contractors, who are all currently involved in the state rail system, will be have ample protection. Everything will play out the way it needs to to make sure everyone is covered. One only has to look at how things are already being done with the hsr plan, things that don’t seem to make sense to the untrained onlooker, but which make perfect sense the world of california politics.

    Alon Levy Reply:

    Your use of the word “exurbanization” is weird. Usually it means what everyone means by sprawl. The common word for high-density expansion of remote city centers is “gentrification,” after the social class that can afford said high-density districts.

    rafael Reply:

    Nope, gentrification simply refers to the disappearance of affordable housing in an already-established neighborhood due to market forces. As developers replace older buildings, rents rise and lower-income residents are forced to move – ofter quite far away – to make ends meet. In many cases, these neighborhoods lose a lot of their character in the process.

  17. jimsf
    Mar 19th, 2010 at 10:33
    #17

    In vancouver for instance and other euro style cities, or I guess pretty much everywhere but the US, most cities seem to have multiple high rise districts that consist mainly of housing, strung along skytrain or similar. like this for instance

    Peter Reply:

    Interestingly, Berlin is not built up like that. They had (and I think still have) a cap of five stories for most buildings. There are a few high-rises, but overall they have a uniform height. Public transit is still the way to go there, though, because of the sheer density of rail and bus lines running at high frequency.

    EJ Reply:

    3, 4, or 5 story housing is very dense housing though. Particularly given the generally somewhat small apartment size and minimal yard space common in European cities. Or for a US example, take the building I live in – 9 two bedroom apartments on 3 floors – not a particularly huge building – but there’s probably at least 54 people living on a lot that would contain no more than 2 homes in a typical US suburb.

    Paris, London, Vienna, etc. are all built more or less this way. Taking into account the amount of park space around those Vancouver tower blocks, I doubt the density there is a lot greater than, say, London’s West End. One thing Europe often doesn’t have is the type of zoning laws prevalent in the US, so for example many London neighborhoods, even quite high-end ones, contain a mishmash of shops, offices, and apartments, sometimes in the same buildings.

  18. EJ
    Mar 19th, 2010 at 19:13
    #18

    Darn comments got eated.

    3, 4, or 5 story Euro-style housing is very dense housing though, particularly considering the generally smallish apartments and lack of yard space common in cities like London, Vienna, Paris, etc. One thing European cities often lack is the same type of zoning laws that US cities have, so it’s common to see a mishmash of housing, offices, and shops, sometimes in the same building.

    rafael Reply:

    California is a bit of a special case in that it is riddled with slip-strike faults. Wood is fairly cheap and does a good job of damping earthquake vibrations, but it isn’t economical to build wooden structures taller than 3 stories. Steel framed buildings generally aren’t economical unless they feature 6-8 stories minimum, depending on location. In-between, masonry is cheapest but it cannot withstand earthquakes and is therefore strongly discouraged if not prohibited by state building codes.

  19. TomW
    Mar 22nd, 2010 at 06:48
    #19

    Land use laws are the bigegst single cause of sprawl. So long as cities zone large areas exclusively for residential, then peopel will have to travel large distances. Cities should ensure that all houses should have a small retail node (where you can buy basic groceries) within walking distance.

    EJ Reply:

    Something about that word makes me laugh. “Bye honey, back in 15. Just running out to the Node to buy some milk.”

  20. Matt Korner
    Mar 22nd, 2010 at 12:03
    #20

    San Bernardino recently unveiled plans for the best-designed high-speed rail station in California that has the capability of becoming a high-speed train hub for service to Phoenix, Las Vegas, and Anaheim-Long Beach, in addition to Los Angeles and San Diego.

    Opening in 2013, the San Bernardino Intermodal Transit Center and Transit Village should serve as the model for preventing sprawl at all other California stations. The design is by Cooper Carry with engineering by Arup, and the project is based on the Vision & Action Plan developed by EDAW-AECOM.

    The West side of E Street will initially include four Metrolink platforms accommodating eight trains within a dramatic open-air pavilion formed by giant ribbons of solar-energy collectors suggesting the prehistoric geological forces that shaped the valley.

    The architects expect LEED Platinum certification for the entire complex.

    These ribbons then extend across a linear “bus street” that will encompass 25 bays, mostly for commuter buses since Omnitrans plans to simplify its existing routes so that they feed into the new sbX B.R.T. systems, instead of converging in the city center.

    Four tracks of high-speed rail would be accommodated below grade in a trench in order to allow the trains to cross the 215 freeway without having to use an elevated guideway that would have to be built fifty feet or so above the ground. The 215 freeway, incidentally, is currently undergoing an $800 million modernization that will also be completed in 2013.

    Passengers will enter the terminal though the Great Hall, a multi-story concourse with ticketing facilities, escalators, and a green roof on the fourth level that will serve as a park offering dramatic views of the city’s mountains and skyline.

    The first sbX station will occupy the median of E Street and will connect with an iconic, elliptical, and cable-stayed pedestrian bridge that will stretch from the first phase described above to the second phase, which will be located on the East side of E Street.

    The pavilion on the East side of E Street will encompass: the light rail to Redlands; the fixed-guideway link to San Bernardino International Airport; and, the all-weather tramway to Big Bear Lake. The new and stylish San Bernardino International Airport, which will become the size of Burbank International, lies about a mile East of the station.

    A new street will be created immediately South of both halves of the terminal to provide facilities for: taxis; shuttles; limos.; and, “kiss-and-ride”, while new mid-block streets and new street extensions will enlarge San Bernardino’s already sizable grid. Additional facilities will be provided for bicycles, as well as for car sharing and conventional car rentals. Most parking for private vehicles would be located off-site at a new parking structure that is just now breaking ground at the existing 1918 train station.

    Additional sbX stations for the Route 66 Line and the Airport-to-Airport Line would be located on medians in the middle of Rialto Avenue in order to form a “T”-shape with the E Street station.

    A Central Garden runs along the edges of all the at-grade tracks. Mixed-use development is seamlessly-integrated throughout the terminal with a residential emphasis South of the tracks and an employment emphasis North of the tracks. A generous amount of meeting and convention space is also included in the design. But, the complex does a remarkable job of amassing these facilities without creating a superblock since a network of interconnected streets are interwoven throughout the site.

    The first phase occupies twelve acres, and the surrounding transit village consumes six large 600 x 600-foot blocks. The project’s Web site was just launched, although there are no renderings available there just yet: http://AreYouIn.Omnitrans.org

    Pictures of the conceptual renderings that were presented during the February 23rd Community Meeting are available here: http://www.Flickr.com/groups/sanbernardino/pool

Comments are closed.