What’s the Status of the Transportation Bill?

Jan 13th, 2010 | Posted by Robert Cruickshank

Been a little while since we updated you on the reauthorization of the Transportation Bill, which was to have occurred last year. It didn’t, and was put off to 2010. Now it looks like it might get put off again to 2011, and the White House is stepping up to try and break the Congressional impasse, according to Streetsblog DC:

One key ingredient in the Obama administration’s effort to carve out a stronger federal role in local planning, of course, is the still-stalled six-year federal transportation bill. And Osborne — seemingly aware of the value of that legislation in removing longstanding obstacles to coordination — told the TRB meeting that “Capitol Hill has asked DOT to craft its own version of a transportation reauthorization bill,” according to ClimateWire.

A legislative outline from Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood, who spent much of 2009 urging lawmakers to put off discussion of the next six-year bill until 2011, would be an undeniable boost to Democrats who have long urged the administration to play a more active part in solving the puzzle of long-term financing.

But the political hurdles to enacting a new federal transport bill this year remain steep, as ITS America President Scott Belcher remarked in one of today’s TRB conference sessions.

“Everybody wants to get past the elections” before passing new long-term legislation,” Belcher said, “and they want to get past the election because they don’t want to raise taxes.”

Speaker Nancy Pelosi herself echoed this at the Detroit Auto Show earlier this week:

Well, there certainly has been advocacy for such a position [raising the gas tax]. It does not, certainly, have a majority in the Congress of the United States at this time. So we want to approach this in a way that is comprehensive, that certainly keeps in mind of concerns of the consumer, the concerns of the industry, and of the environment. This is not to say one idea is better than another — it’s just to say that at the present time, there are other initiatives that we have.

Pelosi wasn’t quite clear here – is the problem in the House? In the Senate? Or both? My guess is it’s both the House and the Senate, as conservative and Blue Dog Democrats are likely shying away from something that can easily be spun by Republicans as somehow damaging to voters.

But the logic of putting this off to 2011 doesn’t quite hold up. It’s unlikely that Democrats will maintain their 60 seats in the Senate, and so far they haven’t gotten serious about eliminating the filibuster. Democrats are in much better shape in the House, where there will be some losses but not enough to put Pelosi in any serious jeopardy of losing her majority (most losses will be among right-leaning Blue Dogs from the South).

And of course, the partisanship matters, because the Republicans will never vote for a tax increase, even if it is sensible and fiscally responsible policy. The best time to move on this would have been in 2009, not 2011, when Congress will be freaking out even more strongly about the deficit and when Obama will likely want to play things safe in advance of his reelection bid in 2012.

Which is unfortunate, since transportation policy is one area where a new direction is desperately needed and wanted. Many in Congress want to use the gas tax and the transportation bill to help encourage more sustainable and denser communities, partly as a strategy to address the climate crisis and reduce dependence on ever-rising oil prices. 2008 demonstrated that there was broad support for such a shift. But some states and some Senators refuse to accept that the status quo is dead and must change – the story of 2009, as we saw on a wide range of issues.

Anyone who thinks that the 20th century model of sprawl and reliance on gas-guzzling cars is still viable is nuts, and not paying attention to reality. Unfortunately Congress remains in the grip of exactly that kind of thinking, at least in enough numbers to block meaningful action. One of the top priorities for California HSR advocates in 2010 must be to push Congress to get off its ass and pass a good transportation bill that, among other things, includes a robust, stable, long-term funding source for high speed rail.

  1. HSRforCali
    Jan 13th, 2010 at 19:28
    #1

    Well, since it looks like the Trans. Bill won’t be voted on until 2050, we’re just going to have to take matters into our own hands. In other words, we’ll have to find a different funding source for HSR.

    spokker Reply:

    Let’s have a bake sale.

  2. jimsf
    Jan 13th, 2010 at 21:19
    #2

    we’re all doomed I tell you. Doomed!

  3. Notorious BIG Tex
    Jan 13th, 2010 at 21:42
    #3

    Does anyone have a link to the state map that shows CAHSR’s proposed maximum speeds? I think I saw it on the old blog, but can’t find it now.

    Joey Reply:

    I don’t have a link right now, but I know it’s somewhere in the business plan.

  4. jimsf
    Jan 13th, 2010 at 22:01
    #4

    well, as to where to find the private investment …. surprise surprise there we go.

  5. HSRComingSoon
    Jan 14th, 2010 at 00:06
    #5

    The Transportation Bill won’t happen till at least after the November elections. The reason for this is clear: election year politics. With $700 billion to be spent on Afghanistan/Iraq along with all the other spending in the proposed $3.5 trillion Federal Budget, adding probably $500 billion (granted it is over 6 years) in spending will not sit well with many congressional districts and their constituents. Even though infrastructure adds more jobs and puts money back into the economy, the threat of being labeled a “tax and spend liberal” will scare away many of the blue-dog moderates, Democrats in unsafe seats and even many moderate Republicans. Furthermore, the mere talk of increasing the gas tax does not sit well with most of the country either, not to mention that it could dampen prospects of economic recovery. I would imagine that if any transportation bill is voted on and hopefully passed, it will happen before the next Congress is sworn-in in January 2011 since this will be the time that retiring/defeated members can cast a vote without repercussions before leaving office.

    As for high speed rail, it might be wise for TARP profits to be channeled in the DOT, if possible, with specific designations for projects like high speed rail. In this case, the Treasury invested in Wall Street, putting money into large infrastructure can be considered a wise investment in Main Street.

    One last comment on the gas tax. With hybrid cars, future electric cars, increased car gas mileage and fewer commuters due to lost jobs, we get less revenue from the gas tax as less gas is being consumed. This trend, sans unemployment issues (hopefully) will also continue into the future. Other methods of taxation like congestion pricing will face immense difficulties being instituted, which makes funding transportation all the more difficult into the future unless other funding methods are produced. Any ideas on how to fix this problem?

    Alon Levy Reply:

    The main alternative proposed is a VMT tax. It’s harder to collect than a gas tax, and doesn’t discourage pollution (not that an 18-cent gas tax does), but it doesn’t directly assault the mythology of free oil, so it’s easier to implement.

    HSRComingSoon Reply:

    The VMT tax seems interesting, although there are significant barriers to entry. First, a high start-up cost, mainly the GPS transmitters, which also raise a thorny privacy issue. Second, the very nature of the tax can lead to its defeat in car-happy states like CA because many people have to drive good distances to work or for work-related necessities, like having to pick up supplies for job sites. Reconciling the need to drive for work-related purposes and being taxed for it will be difficult for voters to accept. Would such a tax be only for certain areas? Also, what rate would be charged for miles traveled, how about $.0075 per mile?

    dejv Reply:

    In addition, VMT tax systems are costly to build and operate, requiring taxpayers to pay more money for the same net tax revenue.

    lyqwyd Reply:

    It will take a long time (decades, if not half a century) before increased fuel efficiency will be significant enough to counteract increased miles traveled.

    Sure, if everybody drove electric cars, the gas tax would be irrelevent, but that won’t happen any time soon.

    The gas tax has plenty of life left in it, and has the advantage of higher penalty on heavier vehicles.

  6. jimsf
    Jan 14th, 2010 at 11:20
    #6

    acela upgrades puts some people to work. plus good revenue numbers.

    more jobs via fleet replacement hundreds of coaches and locomotives to be ordered.

  7. Brandi
    Jan 14th, 2010 at 21:47
    #7

    I’m going to be pessimistic here but I really dont’ see any climate bill or transportation bill getting past. The only thing that the senate is going to get excited about is a job bill. Hopefully this can include some more money for transit than normal and some for high speed rail. It was a huge bummer last year to see the house pass all these great bills and the senate accomplish absolutely nothing. I sadly do not see that improving.

    HSRforCali Reply:

    I’m afraid I’m going to have to agree with you on that one. It really is a shame that this country can spend so much on war, yet can’t afford to take care of it’s own people.

  8. YesonHSR
    Jan 15th, 2010 at 23:26
    #8

    Robert….are you a Palo Alto online sissy?

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